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50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! 50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?!

04-06-2011 , 06:07 AM
villain is a reg running 17/13 /w an aggression factor of 4 and 3bet % of 4.

i have a solid TAG image. a bit more aggressive than most though.
    Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 8 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #8781992

    UTG+2: $52.30 (104.6 bb)
    MP1: $50 (100 bb)
    MP2: $60.45 (120.9 bb)
    MP3: $66.05 (132.1 bb)
    CO: $77.60 (155.2 bb)
    BTN: $34 (68 bb)
    Hero (SB): $60.05 (120.1 bb)
    BB: $50 (100 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with Q A
    UTG+2 folds, MP1 raises to $2, 2 folds, CO calls $2, BTN folds, Hero calls $1.75, BB folds

    Flop: ($6.50) Q 5 7 (3 players)
    Hero checks, MP1 checks, CO bets $4.75, Hero calls $4.75, MP1 folds

    Turn: ($16) 6 (2 players)
    Hero checks, CO checks

    River: ($16) Q (2 players)
    Hero bets $9, CO raises to $34, Hero calls $25

    Spoiler:
    Results: $84 pot ($3 rake)
    Final Board: Q 5 7 6 Q
    CO showed 7 7 and won $81 ($40.25 net)
    Hero mucked Q A and lost (-$40.75 net)



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    i was so confused i just clicked call

    Last edited by bereziNLX3; 04-06-2011 at 06:27 AM.
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 06:13 AM
    I fold, i don't see any hand villain does this with that you beat.

    I'd think (didn't look at spoiler) that a set that got a bit potcontrollisch ott is most likely. I doubt he would even do this with a flush (except straight flush obv.).
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 06:25 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by INDETAS
    I fold, i don't see any hand villain does this with that you beat.

    I'd think (didn't look at spoiler) that a set that got a bit potcontrollisch ott is most likely. I doubt he would even do this with a flush (except straight flush obv.).
    this is totally stupid from villains pov, DUCY?
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 06:33 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by bereziNLX3
    this is totally stupid from villains pov, DUCY?
    No idea what you mean.

    Haven't looked at spoiler but 55/77 play this way, hoping to boat up on the river because the (bad) reg villain is scared of a flush.

    He can also take this line with a NFD, checking back the turn because he thinks he is tarping. Again this is more likely if he is bad.

    Either way, you lose.

    I guess the question is whether he can take this line with worse Qx. I'd say that's unlikely because he would only check back the turn to pot control, and if he's done that becuase he's scared of the flush, he'd be unlikely to raise river (because the flush still beats him LDO).

    Can he ever have air?
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 06:41 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by bereziNLX3
    this is totally stupid from villains pov, DUCY?
    Yeah, he didnt play his very hand well. Weirdly enough, i see this more (MUBS, but usually from 15/4 type of players). So still, i'd fold the river thinking villain is an idiot.
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 06:58 AM
    villain is down 20k playing 50nl how is this even possible? i leveled myself into calling thanks to my own bet sizing, i figured i looked totally FOS and villain picked up on it (fullhouse,flushes, vbet way bigger, could be ultra thin vbet etc).

    LITTLE DID I KNOW
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 08:49 AM
    That turn card completes a lot of draws. Not sure why you think it's bad for villain to check that card.
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 08:50 AM
    FWIW, I would certainly take noet of villains bet size on the flop with middle set on that wet of a board. pretty horrible.

    No wonder he's lost 20k.
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 09:40 AM
    Theres the draws and the set, and it looks like he got there ........ but he lost 20 k..... how do anyone loose that much in the micros ????

    Fx. bluffshoving river IMO :-)

    There is KQ, QJs J10s, AQ, 67s for at to pair hand, some pp and pure Air in the range too. AA KK could slow down as the flush hits...
    Horrible played preflop but hey hes looooooooooosing.
    So i actually wouldent think its a big mistake calling with trips........ but you ran into a boat i guess :-)
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 09:59 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by SaberTJ
    That turn card completes a lot of draws. Not sure why you think it's bad for villain to check that card.
    IMO, because he is missing a value from (mostly Qx) hands with a single diamond.
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 10:03 AM
    unless villain is super tricky/good, a check turn, followed by a river raise is always an incredibly strong hand

    Agree that his turn check is incredibly bad
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 10:06 AM
    Quote:
    Originally Posted by bereziNLX3
    villain is down 20k playing 50nl
    [ ] Games are dead
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 10:38 AM
    Do you have any stats in the pfr?
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 11:54 AM
    Minus 40,000 bb's ... nice. How many hands does that take? Sick self-level on that call. I understand how you got there though ... attributing good strategy to our villains is a major leak imo.

    FWIW, with the board showing straight, flush and house possibilities am I the only one thinking this might be a good place to check/?call? river with toppest trips given villains ag factor?
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote
    04-06-2011 , 12:03 PM
    river calls is bad....we basically have a bluff catcher here....this has set/fh written all over it.
    50NL wtf do i do OTR?1?!?! Quote

          
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