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50NL: w00t, this two pair will look awesome in the muck 50NL: w00t, this two pair will look awesome in the muck

05-26-2008 , 08:03 PM
Villain is 13/6/.8 over 104 hands. Hasn't really showed down any hands and hasn't done anything notable beyond having pretty low post-flop aggression. His c-bet flop percentage was like 25%, and he hadn't called anyone's c-bet yet. Hadn't been in any notable hands with him that I could recall.

Something I didn't quite realize until after the hand was that I was 21/16 on the table for the 114 hands I'd been there. That's a little hotter than my normal style, but I'd been getting some cards, and no one was adjusting to me yet of whom I was aware. I moved my vpip/pfr stats to a prominent place on my HUD just now so I'm more aware of this in the future.

Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked

Hero (CO): $74.55
BTN: $9.25
SB: $101.75
BB: $9.25
UTG: $33.85
UTG+1: $18.50
MP1: $49.95
MP2: $51.50

Pre Flop: Hero is CO with 9 8
2 folds, MP1 calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.50, 3 folds, MP1 calls $2

Flop: ($5.75) T 9 5 (2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero bets $4, MP1 calls $4

Turn: ($13.75) 8 (2 players)
MP1 checks, Hero bets $7.50, MP1 raises to $20, Hero


Anyway, preflop his limp looks to me like it's most likely a pocket pair <JJ.. maybe AJ/KQ, or maybe he likes to limp SCs or JTs or something funkier. Most likely a pocket pair though.

When he calls my flop bet, I'm basically shutting down. If he's floating me, then good for him, and I'm not really excited about my 9.

The turn gives me two pair, which makes me happy. I bet the turn, but I made an unusually small bet (for me). This was probably because I'd just read something about betting smaller on the turn in some post about Omaha Hi/Lo or Limit. I generally like to try to apply advice I remember incorrectly completely out of context to keep my game fresh. It's my version of Harrington's wrist-watch.

Anyway, he comes over the top. He's a straightforward player as far as I can tell, and quite passive as far as I've seen, so this looks like a set. The 8 probably also made several nice straights but I'm not sure any of them are in his range.

Looks like he wants to play for stacks, and I don't like where I stand. Am I seeing monsters under the bed, or do I still have equity to call/shove even with his range? I guess if he has 55 I have boat redraws. :>
50NL: w00t, this two pair will look awesome in the muck Quote
05-26-2008 , 08:27 PM
against this particular player, I think a fold is certainly the best option. We don't have any reason to believe that he would try a bluff/semi-bluff here given what we've seen from him in the past, You are only beating one other two pair combo and I think he's gonna show up with a set or straight here the majority of the time, good time to fold imo.
50NL: w00t, this two pair will look awesome in the muck Quote
05-26-2008 , 09:44 PM
Given his AF, looks like a fold. I would probably fold to a raise, but definetly to the check raise.
50NL: w00t, this two pair will look awesome in the muck Quote
05-26-2008 , 10:03 PM
I bet a little more on the turn, but i think folding is fine against this guy
50NL: w00t, this two pair will look awesome in the muck Quote
05-26-2008 , 10:47 PM
$11.50 or $12 seem about right?
50NL: w00t, this two pair will look awesome in the muck Quote
05-27-2008 , 12:06 AM
$10 does the job against him. folding the turn is best.
50NL: w00t, this two pair will look awesome in the muck Quote
05-27-2008 , 07:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hzon
I generally like to try to apply advice I remember incorrectly completely out of context to keep my game fresh. It's my version of Harrington's wrist-watch.
50NL: w00t, this two pair will look awesome in the muck Quote

      
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