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50nl trips vs nit line check? 50nl trips vs nit line check?

10-06-2008 , 12:11 PM
Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG+2: $19.00
MP1: $56.00
MP2: $11.45
CO: $18.05
BTN: $50.65
SB: $9.50
BB: $51.55
Hero (UTG): $50.70
UTG+1: $45.00

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG with A Q
Hero raises to $2, UTG+1 calls $2, 6 folds, BB calls $1.50

Flop: ($6.25) 8 7 Q (3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $3.50, UTG+1 calls $3.50, BB folds

Turn: ($13.25) Q (2 players)
Hero bets $11, UTG+1 calls $11

River: ($35.25) 4 (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $14.50, Hero calls $14.50

nit is running 17/12. Whats my line on turn and river?
Also what do u do if queen doesnt come on turn
50nl trips vs nit line check? Quote
10-06-2008 , 12:20 PM
Lead river for about $20.. as played shove over his river raise.

17/12 is nowhere near a nit. 14/10 is a solid TAG from what i've seen... 17/12 is much closer to LAG then TAG imo.

If queen doesn't hit turn, i'm most likely double barreling here. Although playing for pot control, and taking the b/c/b line would be ok too, but b/b/b on safe turns/river is probably best.

Obviously if we get raised somewhere we might have to dump it.
50nl trips vs nit line check? Quote
10-06-2008 , 12:42 PM
With no likely draws (65 aside) villain either has a set (FH), a worse queen or possibly 99+.

Sets are unlikley (as the only options are 77 or 88) although they do fit the betting well.

I think you have to hope he has 99+ KQ or QJ and value bet the river for $20-25 although that doesn't leave any room to get away if we're raised.
50nl trips vs nit line check? Quote
10-06-2008 , 01:02 PM
If you think that villain is capable of having 9T here, then crai. The range of hands that villain calls a bet or shove with here is the exact same range that he will bet when checked too, the only difference being that if you check to him on the river, he could bet 9T or some other random garbage that he was stupid enough to double float with.
50nl trips vs nit line check? Quote

      
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