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50NL - sqz, flopped trips 50NL - sqz, flopped trips

11-08-2009 , 06:45 AM
pre raiser is 46/34/2, CO is 29/10/3

no real reads on them

i' have to call here even though i'm usually behind?


Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 358445
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

MP: $64.70
CO: $97.75
BTN: $50.00
Hero (SB): $50.00
BB: $74.65
UTG: $126.75

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is SB with K T
UTG raises to $1.50, 1 fold, CO calls $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, Hero raises to $8, 1 fold, UTG calls $6.50, CO calls $6.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($26.00) K K 3 (3 players)
Hero bets $15, UTG raises to $68, CO raises to $89.75 all in Hero is commited but behind?
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 06:57 AM
yep, you are committed. Please never fold in this spot 100BB deep. An easy fold if you're deeper, my love
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 06:59 AM
Ugh that's sick, CO has just 3bet the flop with absolutely no FE, I'm really not liking my hand at all. You're getting enough equity though to put in the remaining $27
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 07:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeeba Neighba
Ugh that's sick, CO has just 3bet the flop with absolutely no FE, I'm really not liking my hand at all. You're getting enough equity though to put in the remaining $27
I agree but I do think people ship QQ-TT also in due the fact that KKx blocks AK
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 08:20 AM
don't squeeze KTo preflop?
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 08:22 AM
if you want to put your money in with 3 outs, why not..
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 06:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by wishiewish
if you want to put your money in with 3 outs, why not..
If he knows he has 3 outs here it's an autocall...............
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 07:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hEadAche1
Hero is commited but behind?
You're only committed if you have to call in the worst case scenario. You have 13% equity if you're behind and you need 16-17% to call.
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 07:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Giantian
I agree but I do think people ship QQ-TT also in due the fact that KKx blocks AK
People shipping TT-QQ when they're 200bb deep with each other?

Sounds unlikely.
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 07:20 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ksight3
People shipping TT-QQ when they're 200bb deep with each other?

Sounds unlikely.
yer no one ever takes that line with tt-qq
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 07:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kaos_
You're only committed if you have to call in the worst case scenario. You have 13% equity if you're behind and you need 16-17% to call.

You only have 13% equity if UTG decides to bluff TT there and CO ships a better K, and that's just not that likely. Against their RANGES, you have enough to call
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 07:33 PM
why do we have to call this? we have less than 1/2 our stack in and we are drawing to 3 outs.
we need about 13% equity which is over 5/1 pot odds and we are only getting 4.7/1(somebody can recheck that i did it fast)

Last edited by fattony7891; 11-08-2009 at 07:39 PM.
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 07:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fattony7891
why do we have to call this? we only have 1/2 our stack in and we are drawing to 3 outs.
Come up with a range and pokerstove it, that should answer your question
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 07:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeeba Neighba
Come up with a range and pokerstove it, that should answer your question
One has AK-KJ or 33. We are drawing to 3 tens.
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 07:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fattony7891
One has AK-KJ or 33. We are drawing to 3 tens.
Ok, say that is CO's range, what range does UTG have here?
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 07:45 PM
Why do we cbet this board? Just check and let the fish bluf his stack away. This is a std spot where we only are getting called by hands who have us crushed.
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 07:56 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeeba Neighba
Ok, say that is CO's range, what range does UTG have here?
thats both their ranges. if utg raises AA or any hand here thats not a K with near top kicker hes a ******.
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 08:05 PM
I disagree that UTG's range is as tight as that, and CO is a fish. That's just too tight of a range for both players to have IMO
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 08:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeeba Neighba
I disagree that UTG's range is as tight as that, and CO is a fish. That's just too tight of a range for both players to have IMO
Maybe, it just seems like its impossible for either of them to be raising that flop without AK,KQ,KJ or 33, 200BB's deep.

edit: Just mesing with pokerstove it seems that even if they are shoving worse K's here some of the time we still only have 15.5% equity which still isnt enough. You havnt taken into account the rake either on this pot, which means you;ll need slightly more equity to call profitably.

Last edited by fattony7891; 11-08-2009 at 08:29 PM.
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 08:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Zeeba Neighba
You only have 13% equity if UTG decides to bluff TT there and CO ships a better K, and that's just not that likely. Against their RANGES, you have enough to call
Are you on crack?
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 08:30 PM
I don't think CO ever ships lighter than KJ if he is somewhat sane.
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 08:52 PM
Funny fact: either one of these guys has 33 or he's a ******, ducy?
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 08:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gateswi
Funny fact: either one of these guys has 33 or he's a ******, ducy?
not neccesarily

Last edited by fattony7891; 11-08-2009 at 08:59 PM. Reason: they could be using a 5 King deck
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-08-2009 , 09:09 PM
Ok did the calcs to call:

27 behind

Pot size = 152 after we c-bet and 2 shoves and we call
Final pot size = Flop pot size + our c-bet + UTG shove + CO shove + our call
26 + 15 + (50-8) + (50-8) + (50-15-8) = 152

Equity needed to break-even = Price to call / Final pot-size
(50-15-8) / (162+(50-15-8)) = 27/152 = 17.7%

A fairly reasonable stove:

Board: Ks Kc 3d
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 15.199% 11.96% 03.24% 2592 702.00 { KhTc }
Hand 1: 16.362% 13.12% 03.24% 2844 702.00 { AKs, KQs, AKo, KQo }
Hand 2: 68.439% 68.44% 00.00% 14832 0.00 { 33, KTs+, KTo+ }

So, meh

I probably would fold
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote
11-09-2009 , 03:52 AM
thanks guys, some really good info

btw UTG had 33, and CO KQo
50NL - sqz, flopped trips Quote

      
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