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50NL Rush- Rivered two pair facing overbet donk 50NL Rush- Rivered two pair facing overbet donk

06-18-2010 , 06:54 AM
Villain is completely unknown, but is multitabling and has the iron man chip. He is repping very few combos on the river (KTdd, T9dd, JJ) but it's hard to see this ever being a bluff. Thoughts?

Full Tilt - $0.50 NL RUSH (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3

CO: $50.00
Hero (BTN): $50.00
SB: $107.20
BB: $81.35
UTG: $58.00
MP: $47.75

SB posts SB $0.25, BB posts BB $0.50

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has A J

fold, MP raises to $1.00, fold, Hero calls $1.00, fold, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($3.25, 3 players) A 8 5
BB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $2.50, BB calls $2.50, fold

Turn: ($8.25, 2 players) Q
BB checks, Hero bets $5.50, BB calls $5.50

River: ($19.25, 2 players) J
BB bets $26.50
50NL Rush- Rivered two pair facing overbet donk Quote
06-18-2010 , 07:13 AM
I think he would have reraised on the flop with AK to get diamonds and straight draws off the hand. Plus the way he floats tells me that it is a set of 8's or 5's in my opinion. JJ might float you to the turn but would have you on the A and give up after your turn bet.
50NL Rush- Rivered two pair facing overbet donk Quote
06-18-2010 , 07:14 AM
Could he ever have a set? I doubt it, they would,ve probably c/r turn. 2 pair is also very unlikely for the same reasoning. The only bluff he can have is a missed fd or a missed straight draw with 4 67s combo's. Granted there are only 2 combo's that made a straight that called the flop. Wouldn't these combos not c/r the river? Despite this I would probably fold since he must be bluffing 56 %. What a messy spot.
50NL Rush- Rivered two pair facing overbet donk Quote

      
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