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50nl flush on paired board vs nit 50nl flush on paired board vs nit

10-28-2010 , 05:57 PM
villain is 11/5 with wtsd of like 10% over a 155 hands. i didnt think there were any worse flushes or really any 9x hands in his range so i put him on a full house/quads and folded. good or bad fold?


Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter By DeucesCracked Poker Videos

CO: $90.90
BTN: $56.25
SB: $51.60
BB: $53.00
UTG: $50.00
Hero (UTG+1): $69.70
UTG+2: $50.75
MP1: $50.00
MP2: $129.25

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG+1 with T A
1 fold, Hero raises to $1.50, 4 folds, BTN calls $1.50, 2 folds

Flop: ($3.75) 9 9 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.50, BTN calls $2.50

Turn: ($8.75) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $5, BTN calls $5

River: ($18.75) T (2 players)
Hero bets $12, BTN raises to $32, Hero requests TIME, Hero folds
50nl flush on paired board vs nit Quote
10-28-2010 , 06:04 PM
I would have a hard time folding here considering the only hands that might have you beat are TT/99/66. There's a decent chance a villian with these stats is butchering a larger overpair to the board. You're getting like 3:1 on a call. I don't think I could fold for that price even given his stats.
50nl flush on paired board vs nit Quote
10-28-2010 , 06:13 PM
fold
50nl flush on paired board vs nit Quote
10-28-2010 , 06:15 PM
standard, goot fold
50nl flush on paired board vs nit Quote
10-28-2010 , 08:44 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tumaterminator
fold
Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerarb
standard, goot fold
Guess I lost $20.

You guys really fold this? Couldn't it be AA/KK just as much as TT/66. These nits butcher overpairs. Possibly KQs or QJs. I suppose I'm being optimistic but calling $20 to win $60, don't you have to be correct 1 time out of 4 for this to be correct. OP's not good more than that?
50nl flush on paired board vs nit Quote

      
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