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50NL - Awkward blind battle - Betsizing rivered straight 50NL - Awkward blind battle - Betsizing rivered straight

02-07-2009 , 07:07 AM
Villain is Taggish 23/15/2 over 36k hands.

Checked behind Flop and Turn because he taking some weird funky lines. Figured he didn't connect at all or was slowplaying a strong hand and didn't want to be checkraised of my A-high/backdoor

On the river I figured I could overbet since anything missed will Fold, everything slowplayed (set, overpair) will call regardless if I bet 60% or 127% pot and 97 is just soo inprobable (is that a word?).

Figured a shove wouldn't get a call out of slowplayed sets/overpairs. Wondering to see what betsizing you would take.

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
SB ($95.60)
Hero ($50)
UTG ($53.25)
UTG+1 ($55.85)
CO ($48.40)
BTN ($44.15)

Dealt to Hero 7A

fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $4.50, SB calls $3,

FLOP ($9) 624

check, check,

TURN ($9) 6248

check, check,

RIVER ($9) 62485

SB bets $4.50, Hero raises to $11.50, SB calls $7,

SB shows JJ
(Flop 84.0%, Turn 84.1%)

Hero shows 7A
(Flop 16.0%, Turn 15.9%)

Hero wins $30.45
50NL - Awkward blind battle - Betsizing rivered straight Quote
02-07-2009 , 08:20 AM
i wouldn't 3bet the rag ace.. you beg to be dominated in an inflated pot. call and see the flop in position.
after you 3bet i think you have to cbet this flop it doesn't hit a lot of his calling range, 5.5$ will give you good odds and fold almost all high cards oop.

as played though, his calling range on the river consists almost entirely of over pairs. and i think he would call a larger raise with them since its really hard to put you on a 7, so i would make it about 16. don't think he'll call an overshove enough for it to be profitable, he'll usually figure your doing that for value and his overpair is no good.
50NL - Awkward blind battle - Betsizing rivered straight Quote
02-07-2009 , 09:04 AM
Make the 3bet pre bigger, about $5.50 or $6.

On river he often has overcards or an overpair he's trying to pot control so I wouldn't expect him to call a huge raise. I probably make it $13-14.

edit: oh and don't show results
50NL - Awkward blind battle - Betsizing rivered straight Quote

      
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