Villain stats: small sample 46/11/3.8 in 70 hands. FCB:0/CB:100/F3B:0/Donk Bet: 60%/Check Raise Flop: 33%/Raise CB vs PRF:50 percent.
Preflop hand range assigned:since he is not folding to 3bet's at all I would assume his calling range is position is something like
44+,A2s+,K9s+,QTs+,J9s+,T9s,98s,87s,A5o+,KTo+,QTo+ ,J9o+,T9o
My line:
Preflop: 3 bet for value against the previous mentioned range
Flop: I believe Ak still has decent equity against his donk bet here. I elect to peel and evaluate turn. (against a reg/good player I would check fold in this spot since their 3 bet call range is much more narrow)
Turn: I was kind of torn here. This was the card I was looking for and I believe I hit gin. If he cbet all his Ax type hands I believe he will fire again on turn.
My question:
If I assign a range for him on the turn based on his pot size bet it would be something like this:
JJ,66-55,AQs-AJs,8c7c,AQo+,8c7d,8c7h,8c7s,8d7c,8h7c,8s7c
do you like a shove here or would you prefer a check call on turn and most rivers?
Full Tilt Poker $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official
2+2 Hand Converter
Powered By DeucesCracked.com
UTG+1: $50.00
MP1: $32.85
MP2: $9.25
CO: $51.70
BTN: $66.10
SB: $37.00
Hero (BB): $69.75
UTG: $8.95
Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is BB with A
K
5 folds,
BTN raises to $1,
1 fold,
Hero raises to $3.25, BTN calls $2.25
Flop: ($6.75) J
5
6
(2 players)
Hero checks,
BTN bets $3.50, Hero calls $3.50
Turn: ($13.75) A
(2 players)
Hero ?