50NL: 2 Pair vs NIT - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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50NL: 2 Pair vs NIT

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03-09-2010 , 12:16 AM

pholios

centurion

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 153

Villain was 9/4/0 over 45 hands

Full Tilt Poker $50.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: $50.00
BTN: $50.00
SB: $60.45
BB: $42.05
Hero (UTG): $88.30

Pre Flop: ($0.75) Hero is UTG with J

Hero raises to $1.75, CO calls $1.75, BTN calls $1.75, 2 folds

Flop: ($6.00) Q

(3 players)
Hero bets $4.00, CO calls $4, BTN folds

Turn: ($14.00) A

(2 players)
Hero bets $10.00, CO calls $10

River: ($34.00) 7

(2 players)
[color=red]Hero ?????

What's my play here? The only hands I can get value from is AK/QJ and these are unlikely considering he is a nit and prob would have 3 bet AK pf, although he is very passive.

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03-09-2010 , 01:12 AM

crovax4444

adept

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 979

I b/f river, because villain would likely be raising the flop or turn with a set or 2p. The river is a blank, so assuming we're ahead on the turn, we should still be ahead on the river. The only hand I think we really lose to is AQ here.

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03-09-2010 , 01:50 AM

craiggerz

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 5,487

$18/fold

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03-09-2010 , 01:53 AM

Bigheadarch1

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 7,096

Quote:

Originally Posted by craiggerz

$18/fold

$18 and fold to a $16 raise?

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03-09-2010 , 01:54 AM

craiggerz

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 5,487

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigheadarch1

$18 and fold to a $16 raise?

Yep, he's never bluffing. You can bet 12 if it makes you feel better.

I find it hard to think of range that we are vbetting against, but I think we need to bet in case our stats are wrong. Seems unlikely that someone with those stats is going to cold call with QJ/AT/Asxs preflop or float this flop with AK/AT and imo those are the hands we are vbetting against.

Last edited by craiggerz; 03-09-2010 at 01:59 AM.

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