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400nl: Check raise river bluff? 400nl: Check raise river bluff?

10-23-2008 , 01:40 PM
$2/$4 No Limit Holdem
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG scarecrow2020 ($400.00)
UTG+1 pamz123 ($266.20)
CO Kjell_morten ($509.40)
BTN Dreddo ($942.60)
SB Hero ($647.50)
BB Playboy 8 ($400.00)

Pre-flop: ($6, 6 players) Hero is SB
3 folds, Dreddo raises to $12, Hero calls $10, 1 fold

Flop: ($28, 2 players)
Hero checks, Dreddo checks

Turn: ($28, 2 players)
Hero bets $20, Dreddo calls $20

River: ($68, 2 players)
Hero checks, Dreddo bets $50, Hero raises to $204, Dreddo ...........


Villan is a bit of a NIT on my small sample size, hes 12/12/3 over 40 hands, havn't seen much from him at all.
Do people think this is a good spot for a river bluff?
I felt the fact that he was really tight makes it better, hes certainly doesn't look like some curious TAG.

What about my bet size?
I am trying to rep a 4x or set, am I though?

My image at the table would be good, I am 21/15/1.6 and I have won any hands that went to showdown on the 30 I have played at this table.
400nl: Check raise river bluff? Quote
10-23-2008 , 03:36 PM
The biggest problem here is that I think you have plenty of showdown value. His river bet is either a queen, trip fours, some wierd monster or a bluff. We beat his bluffs, and I'm not sure we can get him off much of his value betting range. I think if you truly believe he's weak enough to fold here often then he's also weak enough for you to just call.
400nl: Check raise river bluff? Quote
10-23-2008 , 03:49 PM
You really should have just cbet the flop. This just looks super ridiculous weird, and villains most likely holding is Qx (which isn't folding).
400nl: Check raise river bluff? Quote
10-23-2008 , 03:54 PM
Your line looks kind of weird, and there aren't a ton of monsters you could have here, so I don't think he's going to fold the ~2/3rds of the time you need him to (I think he usually has a queen here).
400nl: Check raise river bluff? Quote

      
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