I'm totally lost in that hand .The caller is a fish 28/13 with a caling range 20%+ for 100 hands ,the squeezer is a reg with 6% sq .I called because I think that the fish will always call and the reg will play str forward OOP vs me and the fish ,so I can take the initiative often enough (not saying it's going to be easy )
Do you guys liek my turn play,so far the fish is beting like 60% when check to him,and agg freq is 40 70 80 on FTR but still small sample (I know this hand is not like the hands that I have stats on for 100 hands on him ) I don't think that he have a 9 because he's not going to call me that quick on the flop with hands like 98+ .Do you guys think that I can make him fold an A ?If I call the pot will be 530 and he'll have 350 .
Sorry for the long description hope that someone will help with this one
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $4(BB) Replayer
SB ($438)
BB ($400)
Hero ($638)
UTG+1 ($592)
CO ($406)
BTN ($400)

Dealt to Hero Q A

Hero raises to $12, UTG+1 calls $12, fold, fold, SB raises to $48, fold, Hero calls $36, UTG+1 calls $36

FLOP ($148) K A 9

SB checks, Hero bets $78, UTG+1 calls $78, SB folds

TURN ($304) K A 9 9

Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $114, [color=red]Hero raises to $512 (AI)???

A fish is never folding an ace here, and he very well may have a-9,ak or some random nine...as played just call, call...if he folds you had him to begin with.

the flop/turn action is baffling. and i rate ur opinions normally. WTF.

I think you should stop being such a stat-monkey. You have 100 hands on a guy and you're going over all these statistics that are basically meaningless.

Not in love with that shove there. Really hard for you to rep anything more than just an Ace. Only hand you can possible have there is like A9s. You probably don't get him off an ace and get called by the few hands that beat you. Only advantage to your play is getting him off diamonds if you think he can be betting them in that spot. It's kind of a weird spot but I am leaning towards a call. If he is that big a fish, he might follow through with some kind of river bluff if he misses a flush draw or something.

I'm going with the stats because I don't have any other information !

Try playing some sessions without HUD and think for yourself instead looking for solutions in your HUD all the time.

what is so baffling about betting this flop?

size is a bit big vs SB, vs fish it's probably best though, and since SB checked we are mostly playing vs fish

turn is a bet, he calls more hands than he bets himself

this