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NL Holdem $0.25(BB)
CO ($28.93) [VPIP: 28.6% | PFR: 21.4% | AGG: 55.6% | Flop Agg: 0% | Turn Agg: 66.7% | River Agg: 100% | 3-Bet: 16.7% | 4-Bet: 0% | Hands: 14]
BTN ($16.51) [VPIP: 35.8% | PFR: 4.5% | AGG: 35.5% | Flop Agg: 50% | Turn Agg: 33.3% | River Agg: 0% | 3-Bet: 0% | 4-Bet: 0% | Hands: 69]
HERO ($28.39) [VPIP: 24.8% | PFR: 21.5% | AGG: 34.2% | Flop Agg: 40.1% | Turn Agg: 27.4% | River Agg: 30.9% | 3-Bet: 10.9% | Fold to 3-Bet: 53.8% | 4-Bet: 16.5% | Hands: 230797]
BB ($78.64) [VPIP: 16.1% | PFR: 10.4% | AGG: 20.3% | Flop Agg: 23.1% | Turn Agg: 22.6% | River Agg: 10.5% | 3-Bet: 1% | 4-Bet: 14.3% | Hands: 1153]
HJ ($51.09) [VPIP: 24% | PFR: 15.6% | AGG: 27.3% | Flop Agg: 8.3% | Turn Agg: 41.7% | River Agg: 33.3% | 3-Bet: 3.3% | 4-Bet: 100% | Hands: 104]

Dealt to Hero: Q J

HJ Folds, CO Raises To $0.62, BTN Folds, HERO Raises To $2.71, BB Folds, CO Calls $2.09

Hero SPR on Flop: [4.53 effective]
Flop ($5.67): 2 J Q
HERO Bets $4.25 (Rem. Stack: 21.43), CO Calls $4.25 (Rem. Stack: 21.97)

Turn ($14.17): 2 J Q K
HERO Checks, CO Bets $5.20 (Rem. Stack: 16.77), HERO Calls $5.20 (Rem. Stack: 16.23)

River ($24.57): 2 J Q K 8
HERO Checks, CO Bets $16.77 (allin), HERO ?

I cbet very small on the flop - 1/4 pot

I used to pot it/bet big thinking CO is capped..no sets etc..but usually runout f*cks u like what u face here

I continue to barrel turn ~1/2 pot or less

River essentially a bluff catch - we dont block straights, there are better 2p too - no harm calling-- AK, AQ - lot of these Pair+busted gutshots sometimes play like this

Interesting flopsizing. intuitively I'd go more towards halfpot rather than 75%, but it certainly should generate easier decisions in general.

Turn is the actual worst. I'd already be tempted to just fold turn as it just connects with pretty much every hand he continues with.

River I guess fold. There's no pure bluffs and people at 25nl don't really turn hands like QT, JT, AQ into bluffs. Did you think about block river small? should get some KT AQ to call.

Donk lead after x/cing turn on an 8 river?

Yeah I agree the turn is the nut worst card.

ye Idk, im just going along as I'm typing.

Not really sure what hands we want to checkcall this turn with. Obv some T9s and AT and feels like we're supposed to lead those on the river at least sometimes.

That said, Im having trouble finding hands that reach the river through this exact line. I guess A2-A5hh are a thing. That's probably enough to warrant not betting QJ

Had we chosen like 1/3rd on flop I guess it makes more sense to include QJ as a bet. But that's a whole different tree,so actually nvm.

Just rambling at this point, lol.

I can't find a plausible bluff or value hand in his range that you beat. Maybe JhTh, given you look like aq. That's the issue, you look weaker than you are, but unless hes floating total air and got the perfect turn to bluff he doesnt reach the turn with many bluffs