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3/6 - Meh river spot w/ flopped set on 1tone flop 3/6 - Meh river spot w/ flopped set on 1tone flop

09-22-2010 , 06:25 AM
Vilian seems on the tight side playing 19/15 3b: 6.9
Fold to cbet: 56
Raise cbet: 11
sample: 400 hands

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $6(BB) Replayer
SB ($768)
BB ($840)
Hero ($600)
CO ($609)
BTN ($1,032)

Dealt to Hero 3 3

Hero raises to $21, CO calls $21, BTN calls $21, fold, fold

FLOP ($72) 3 7 J

Hero bets $54, CO calls $54, BTN folds

TURN ($180) 3 7 J 2

Hero bets $135, CO calls $135

RIVER ($450) 3 7 J 2 A

Hero ???

Not sure what to do.
3/6 - Meh river spot w/ flopped set on 1tone flop Quote
09-22-2010 , 06:35 AM
I would bet 30-40% to look weak and hope for a shove.
3/6 - Meh river spot w/ flopped set on 1tone flop Quote
09-22-2010 , 09:39 AM
If you check, it should be certainly to c/f I think...I jam probably
3/6 - Meh river spot w/ flopped set on 1tone flop Quote
09-22-2010 , 09:44 AM
Quote:
I would bet 30-40% to look weak and hope for a shove.
we havent to much money left to make this play. I would tank-check and hope he cant resist makeing an inducing bet i would shove over.

c/f would be giving him credit for a slowplayed flush. i think that is a bit of a long shot
3/6 - Meh river spot w/ flopped set on 1tone flop Quote
09-22-2010 , 09:46 AM
What is so meh about this spot? River is an easy valuebet since the ace of clubs is in villain's range and it's a good barrel card for you so might get called light. With those stacks bet-folding isn't an option so i bet-call 300ish. In my opinion it would be a meh spot once villain raises turn, on river only realistic flush in his range is nut flush and he prob raises that hand somewhere earlier in the hand.
3/6 - Meh river spot w/ flopped set on 1tone flop Quote

      
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