Villain is 18/13/37AFq (220 hands)
75% FTS in BB, 34% call, 5% 3b.
67% FTCB
He has never raised or check-raised any street for any position in the sample I have on him so when he checks riv after turn checks through I'm assuming he isn't strong but probably has some SDV or a busted FD after the flop call.
I was initially about the check back OTR but when I saw he had 0% raise and x/r stat, I'm not too worried about him check-raising a J for value here. So I thought if we bet small we can get value from weak Ax and some other PPs he holds.
Is riv too thin, and as played, can we call this x/r (from this specific player; in general river raises are teh nuts at 5nl). Surely he would lead with a J and could be perceiving my small bet as weakness so decided to turn a weak hand like small PP or busted FD into a bluff.
He tanked for like 15 secs before making the raise.
PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 7 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 3
Hero (BTN): $5.14
SB: $4.95
BB: $4.89
UTG: $5.00
UTG+1: $5.00
MP: $5.10
CO: $5.00
SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05
Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero has Q
T
fold,
fold,
fold,
fold,
Hero raises to $0.12,
fold, BB calls $0.07
Flop: ($0.26, 2 players) A
T
6
BB checks,
Hero bets $0.15, BB calls $0.15
Turn: ($0.56, 2 players) K
BB checks,
Hero checks
River: ($0.56, 2 players) Q
BB checks,
Hero bets $0.25,
BB raises to $1.14,
Hero