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2NL: QQ line check 2NL: QQ line check

02-01-2011 , 10:35 PM
Villain was 30/10 over 10 hands, so no reads.

Full Tilt Poker $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter By DeucesCracked Poker Videos

CO: $2.00
BTN: $2.05
SB: $1.36
BB: $3.31
UTG: $1.96
Hero (UTG+1): $2.84
MP: $1.44

Pre Flop: ($0.03) Hero is UTG+1 with Q Q
UTG calls $0.02, Hero raises to $0.08, 5 folds, UTG calls $0.06

First off, what's villain limping UTG here with that also lends itself to calling a raise? I was thinking the better half of what his 30% VP$P lends itself to. Pokerstove says 30% is 55+, A2s+, K5s+, Q7s+, J8s+, T8s+, 98s, A7o+, A5o, K9o+, Q9o+, J9o+, T9o. I'm trying not to trivially throw out parts of his range, as I'm very new to this, but intuitively I feel as if he'd ditch going forward with the unsuited connectors, two-gapers, and **** Ks and Qs. With that, narrowing his range to 15% seems reasonably, which leaves us with 77+, A7s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QJo. Against this range, I'm roughly a 70/40 favorite going into the flop.

Flop: ($0.19) 6 T 6 (2 players)
UTG bets $0.20, Hero raises to $0.60, UTG calls $0.40

Here, I feel like his bet could serve 1 of 2 purposes. He's throwing out a c-bet with air to take down the pot, or he's v-betting 'cause he hit or he's holding a 10s or higher. I'm fairly confident he isn't holding a 6, 'cause it wouldn't make since for him to go ahead with any 6x hand, unless of course the range I put him on is wrong and he's in love with Ax hands. Regardless, the odds of him having A6 is slim with the board as it is. I'm almost completely throwing 66 out the window here.

That being said, I raise. His call verifies that he hit or is holding 10s or larger. So, we can now narrow down his range to TT+, ATs, KTs, QTs, JTs, ATo+, KTo+, QTo, which I'm roughly a 2:1 favorite. I'm fairly confident I'm way ahead here.

Turn: ($1.39) 9 (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero ?

This is where I get stuck. The check scares me, and I don't know if it should. He's either checking to induce a bet in which I feel he'd raise over me and then I'm sure I'm beat or he can't let go of his Tx hand. The only thing beating me is a 6x hand, TT, KK+. Do I bet here and fold to a shove? Do I check back? Any help is appreciated.
2NL: QQ line check Quote
02-01-2011 , 11:03 PM
Lol given the sample is 10 hands, I can never be arsed to do such calculations and estimations of his range. They are just going to be incorrect so many times..

So he limp-calls which 90% of the time tells us he is not very good.. Then he donks flop.. On my regular nivel I would just call his bet, since it is a potsized bet and I want to keep the bluffs on his range. But then again this is 2nl, so I dont think raising is that bad since he never folds a T. However, If u did raise on the flop with the intent of getting value from a T, I think you should bet that turn always.. And on 2nl I snap call a shove with overpair, but thats just me.

But main point, I think just calling his psb bet on the flop is the correct play.
2NL: QQ line check Quote
02-01-2011 , 11:48 PM
grunch...

10 hands is not enough to rely on stats. The only thing we can tell from the stats is that he played 2 out of 10 hands passively (could have been calling a raise - could be limping in - could have been checking back the bb) and one hand with raising. He is ug so I would expect that his range to be tighter, but this is given to him because he is a n unknown. Against a loose fish, I could see an Ax hand, PP and SC.

He donks pot. He would do this with any PP, Tx, 6x or air. It doesn't get any better than this. You have to make a decision for the rest of the hand here. If you raise, you are basically pot committing yourself. You now have a pot size bet left. If you don't want to get stacks in, then you made your mistake here. I would just put him to the test and push the turn. You will be definately call by any 6x. Depending on the fishiness of the villain, you could get called by a Tx hand or TT+ hand. You would fold out any 99- or Ax(rag) hand.

If you check, I would expect anybody whom donked out pot to push on the river. If not, then you would be lucky. I would work on planning your hands. Do a search on SPR (Stack to Pot Ratio) and work on planning your hand better.
2NL: QQ line check Quote

      
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