I chose to bet the turn because KK is still strong enough to get value with. We can get called by Kx, 2p, worse sets, as well as any 1 card flush draws. Also want to bet here to deny equity to those FD hands. Went with a smaller size to make sure Kx sticks around, as well as the fact that we'll be betting a more de-polarized range with non-flush hands.
When MP raises, I don't see him having too many bluffs. Maybe something like AcJx, although that would be a loose peel multiway vs. my bet size otf. Other bluffs are probably 66-99 with a club. Regardless I have boat outs plus he can be bluffing at some rate here so I call. Seems like flatting is the way to go, as I'm not sure how many worse hands want to GII on the turn.
On the brick river I was kind of unsure what to do. Theoretically I think we just have to call it off, as we're fairly high up in our range and Villain should have bluffs here. Exploitatively though, I feel like the average Villains in these games might not have enough bluffs here for me to call. Thoughts?
Re-read the OP. I said I don't see Villain having many bluffs, but I think the most likely are 66-99 with a club or possibly AJ with a club that made a loose flop call.
Check call turn. Don’t think there’s as much value to be had as you think. The only 2 pair combo out there, KT, you heavily block. Have to assume sets are gonna raise the flop the majority of the time, so not worried about missing value from sets either. And as far as one card flush draws, don’t see much of that either. AT/QT with A/Q of spades is about it. I think when you get action here is vs a flush the majority of the time
I agree with x/c on the turn. I have to imagine there are a lot of flush draws when that 4 way pot gets called in two spots. I think I would lean towards x/f on most blank rivers.
