25nl - SQZ pot vs fish - line check every st - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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25nl - SQZ pot vs fish - line check every st

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05-31-2020 , 03:34 PM

dubakkur2

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2019 Posts: 3,111

villain is 50/30 over 30 hands

short stack will call and fold to a sqz

*******

Stacks:
UTG ($165.78BB) 166bb
UTG+1 ($101.5BB) 102bb
CO ($56.85BB) 57bb
BTN ($96.5BB) 97bb
SB ($100.01BB) 100bb
BB Hero ($135.08BB) 135bb

Pre-Flop: (1.5BB, 6 players) Hero is BB J

1 fold, UTG+1 raises to 3.5BB, CO calls 3.5BB, 2 folds, Hero raises to 14.5BB, UTG+1 calls 11BB, CO folds

Flop: 8

($33BB, 2 players)
Hero bets 8.53BB, UTG+1 calls 8.53BB

Turn: 7

($50.06BB, 2)
Hero bets 12.94BB, UTG+1 raises to 35.88BB, Hero??

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05-31-2020 , 04:25 PM

SelimSuuuup

adept

Join Date: May 2020 Posts: 837

Call and see a river.

I think you have 0 fold equity or induced a bluff, possibly have live outs to a naked J

FWIW you have almost 0 fold equity on this board with a 8.5bb bet. It's not a bad size, but vs 50/30 players, I can't imagine this getting many folds but it's a good size for us.

50/30 over 30 hands isn't even a whole lot, plus it's a 3.5bb open. Is this normal size for him? What hands have you seen him show down that he raised?

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05-31-2020 , 04:35 PM

Theguyonyourleft

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 593

Aren’t we priced in to calling here? haven’t worked it out but would’ve thought we’re getting the price we need to call. V is clearly going to be committing all his stack so we can call and gii if we hit.

Don’t think I’d play this any differently

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05-31-2020 , 04:38 PM

SelimSuuuup

adept

Join Date: May 2020 Posts: 837

I can kind of get behind the 25% vs 33% here. Looks well played. May inspire me to bet 25% more. I've been doing around 30% gets quite a bit of folds. I wonder how 25% will do. **** it, next 10k hands we're going to see.

Just call

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06-01-2020 , 04:11 AM

jeccross

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 3,807

Quote:

Originally Posted by SelimSuuuup

FWIW you have almost 0 fold equity on this board with a 8.5bb bet. It's not a bad size, but vs 50/30 players, I can't imagine this getting many folds but it's a good size for us.

You don't always have to have much FE on the street you are playing for a bet to make sense.

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06-01-2020 , 04:17 AM

jeccross

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 3,807

Preflop I think I'd rather just call and see a flop with AJs. Yeah, he's loose but playing AJs oop v him isn't going to be fun, and with the suitedness I mind less about being 3 way.

Flop I think is fine, but I don't understand the turn bet, not sure what we are trying to achieve with it. Given the outs I would either make a pot committing bet/shove on turn, or check and try to get to see a river cheaply.

What was the plan if he called turn?

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