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25NL fold or call to river shove. 25NL fold or call to river shove.

11-03-2015 , 08:46 PM
WPN $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: $28.95 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 24, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 58
CO: $35.19 - VPIP: 43, PFR: 26, 3B: 0, AF: 0.9, Hands: 42
Hero (BTN): $25.00 - VPIP: 23, PFR: 16, 3B: 7, AF: 1.4, Hands: 382
SB: $28.99 - VPIP: 18, PFR: 12, 3B: 2, AF: 2.0, Hands: 107
BB: $49.13 - VPIP: 19, PFR: 14, 3B: 8, AF: 2.7, Hands: 339

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN with Q Q
UTG raises to $0.75, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2, 2 folds, UTG calls $1.25

Flop: ($4.35) K 3 8 (2 players)
UTG bets $2.07, Hero calls $2.07

Turn: ($8.49) 4 (2 players)
UTG bets $5.38, Hero calls $5.38

River: ($19.25) J (2 players)
UTG bets $19.50

UTG: $28.95 - VPIP: 31, PFR: 24, 3B: 0, AF: 0.0, Hands: 58
Cbet OOP OTF100%/OTT 100%/OTR 100%

Fold to river shove? I don't think they are bluffing in this spot much at 25NL but the 100% Cbets make me suspicious. Also we only have 58 hands on this player so these stats might no matter til 500+ hands?
25NL fold or call to river shove. Quote
11-03-2015 , 08:50 PM
I mean first of all he is donking here so cbet stat doesn't matter. Also cbet in 58 hands could still mean he cbet once :P
I d fold OTT.
25NL fold or call to river shove. Quote
11-03-2015 , 09:58 PM
Donk stats my friend.... Also, the 58 hands means you should take stats like those with a grain of salt.

I'm folding the river. Unfortunately, this board is perfect for triple barreling so QQ is a pretty stellar bluffcatcher. Against virtual unknowns (stats-wise at least), I'd rather just save my $19.00 and fold. He is OOP, which makes me think he is super strong as well. I assume your 3bet range against an UTG open has a lot of Kx in it, which makes me even more nervous.

Basically, the more I think about it, the more I want to fold.
25NL fold or call to river shove. Quote
11-03-2015 , 11:15 PM
I'm letting this go on the turn as well.

I like 3 betting more pre.
25NL fold or call to river shove. Quote
11-03-2015 , 11:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Axel15810
I'm letting this go on the turn as well.

I like 3 betting more pre.
I'm in the same boat vs. someone I have virtually no hands with.
25NL fold or call to river shove. Quote
11-03-2015 , 11:45 PM
pretty trivial fold imo. We have lots of KX here so we are def not over folding.
25NL fold or call to river shove. Quote

      
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