25NL - Do you call the donk here? - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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25NL - Do you call the donk here?

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10-11-2010 , 11:53 AM

NCFCRulz

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 2,751

58/11 over 37 hands. A pretty wreckless player. Call the shove yes?

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter By DeucesCracked Poker Videos

Hero (UTG+1): $29.01
MP1: $27.28
MP2: $26.50
CO: $25.55
BTN: $13.41
SB: $26.27
BB: $30.23
UTG: $32.71

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is UTG+1 with Q

1 fold, Hero raises to $0.75, 4 folds, SB raises to $26.27 all in, 1 fold, Hero calls $25.52

Flop: ($52.79) 8

(2 players - 1 is all in)

Turn: ($52.79) 5

(2 players - 1 is all in)

River: ($52.79) T

(2 players - 1 is all in)

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10-11-2010 , 12:18 PM

Fuzzball

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 642

I'd fold unless I've seen the villain do this already within the last few hands. This always seems to be, "I've finally got Aces, lets see if I get paid."

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10-11-2010 , 12:35 PM

Byan_Railey

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 1,939

Not calling without a specific note, variance is my arch enemy.

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10-11-2010 , 12:38 PM

JustinJude

veteran

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 3,436

Quote:

Originally Posted by Byan_Railey

Not calling without a specific note, variance is my arch enemy.

+ 0.7

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10-11-2010 , 12:53 PM

Baja15

veteran

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 3,220

Call. Live with the variance but your ahead of a random donks range here

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10-11-2010 , 12:59 PM

flip2win

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 3,944

Easy Call. I had a similar situation yesterday for ~70bb and villain showed up with A7o. I think you are more likely to see bs like that than AA or KK (which can be in the range, but most likely a small part). As Baja says, you are better than 50%.

Also - variance is a terrible reason not to make the call. That's scared money.

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10-11-2010 , 01:06 PM

Chriswitteman

veteran

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 2,475

not calling increases variance.

Folding a pretty serious edge because you're scared to lose a BI, reduces your total winrate. A lower winrate means more and longer B/E stretches and downswings.

And this isnt even a high variance spot, cause i'm pretty sure the standard deviation in this spot is way lower than for example setmining (meaning that with for example 100 simulations from this spot you are more often relatively closer to expected result than running a setmining spot 100 times [hit a few sets extra than the expected 11 and get paid off and you are way above expected result, hit a few less 11 and not get paid off and you are way below expected result).

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10-11-2010 , 01:45 PM

stranglylucid

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 7,588

I'm not happy, but I call.

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10-11-2010 , 01:47 PM

brian8065

grinder

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 424

I call. If you play tournaments, this is much more common. The players that do this may be tournament players that are trying out cash.

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10-11-2010 , 01:49 PM

#10

prideomg

enthusiast

Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 59

easy call imo

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10-11-2010 , 02:10 PM

#11

BlackRazor7

banned

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 1,800

Snap call.

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10-11-2010 , 02:16 PM

#12

saleens281sc

adept

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,141

Villain seems to be limping a lot of hands, but only raising 11%. You have 65% equity against 11%, even though it is a small sample. I would expect him to have a bit more of the higher part of his range here, but you should still have enough equity to call.

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