25NL Can we shove this river for value or is this spew?
03-14-2011
, 05:02 PM
First hand at table HUD wasnt up yet...
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($25.99)
Hero ($25)
UTG ($15.72)
UTG+1 ($61.22)
CO ($25.76)
BTN ($26.28)
Dealt to Hero K
K
fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.25, SB calls $1.50
FLOP ($4.50) 4
7 T
SB checks, Hero bets $2.50, SB calls $2.50
TURN ($9.50) 4 7 T K
SB checks, Hero checks
RIVER ($9.50) 4 7 T K J
SB bets $12, Hero...
He overbets river kinda wierd but what do you guys think?
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
SB ($25.99)
Hero ($25)
UTG ($15.72)
UTG+1 ($61.22)
CO ($25.76)
BTN ($26.28)
Dealt to Hero K
K fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.25, SB calls $1.50
FLOP ($4.50) 4
7 T SB checks, Hero bets $2.50, SB calls $2.50
TURN ($9.50) 4
7 T K SB checks, Hero checks
RIVER ($9.50) 4
7 T K J SB bets $12, Hero...
He overbets river kinda wierd but what do you guys think?
03-14-2011
, 05:09 PM
03-14-2011
, 05:38 PM
I think this spot is pretty close and I've changed my mind back and forth a few times. Right now I'm leaning towards flatting. Here's a pretty wide range to start with:
Obviously he isn't going to have all the AQ and 98s combos here, but the same could be said for all of the hands we beat. AK/JJ/TT are 4betting pre sometimes, 77/44/KJ are folding pre sometimes, and AK can maybe find a fold on the river after an overbet gets raised. I think if we discount everything appropriately we still come out pretty close to the equity above, in which case we should call, but I'm open to criticism.
| ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation |
| 39 trials (Exhaustive) |
| board: T74KJ |
| Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| KdKs | 48.72% | 19 | 0 |
| AQ, 98s, AK, JJ, TT, 77, 44, KJ | 51.28% | 20 | 0 |
Obviously he isn't going to have all the AQ and 98s combos here, but the same could be said for all of the hands we beat. AK/JJ/TT are 4betting pre sometimes, 77/44/KJ are folding pre sometimes, and AK can maybe find a fold on the river after an overbet gets raised. I think if we discount everything appropriately we still come out pretty close to the equity above, in which case we should call, but I'm open to criticism.
03-14-2011
, 05:54 PM
Quote:
I think this spot is pretty close and I've changed my mind back and forth a few times. Right now I'm leaning towards flatting. Here's a pretty wide range to start with:
Obviously he isn't going to have all the AQ and 98s combos here, but the same could be said for all of the hands we beat. AK/JJ/TT are 4betting pre sometimes, 77/44/KJ are folding pre sometimes, and AK can maybe find a fold on the river after an overbet gets raised. I think if we discount everything appropriately we still come out pretty close to the equity above, in which case we should call, but I'm open to criticism.
| ProPokerTools Hold'em Simulation |
| 39 trials (Exhaustive) |
| board: T74KJ |
| Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| KdKs | 48.72% | 19 | 0 |
| AQ, 98s, AK, JJ, TT, 77, 44, KJ | 51.28% | 20 | 0 |
Obviously he isn't going to have all the AQ and 98s combos here, but the same could be said for all of the hands we beat. AK/JJ/TT are 4betting pre sometimes, 77/44/KJ are folding pre sometimes, and AK can maybe find a fold on the river after an overbet gets raised. I think if we discount everything appropriately we still come out pretty close to the equity above, in which case we should call, but I'm open to criticism.
Edit: and if we include KJ, we should include KT.
03-14-2011
, 06:53 PM
03-15-2011
, 01:12 AM
