25NL: AK in SB vs. action - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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25NL: AK in SB vs. action

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11-23-2008 , 12:47 AM

siro

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 227

2 limpers very loose, raiser is 14/12 and cold caller is 12/9. Do you fold this based on no worse hand will call a raise?

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG: $49.05
MP: $22.30
CO: $35.95
BTN: $25.00
Hero (SB): $24.20
BB: $27.35

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with A

UTG calls $0.25, MP calls $0.25, CO raises to $2.25, BTN calls $2.25, Hero ??

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11-23-2008 , 12:57 AM

el_grande

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2003 Posts: 1,766

you mean no worse hand will call your reraise?

here are the ranges I'd estimate:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 34.797% 29.45% 05.35% 2538231387 461069774.17 { AcKs }
Hand 1: 29.215% 27.13% 02.09% 2337995194 180153189.67 { 77+, A9s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, ATo+, KJo+ }
Hand 2: 35.987% 31.78% 04.21% 2739046481 362805126.17 { QQ-77, AQs+, AQo+ }

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11-23-2008 , 01:39 AM

siro

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 227

Yeah, I think the analysis here is how often we pick up the $5 or so with a push from fold equity and how often we are an underdog we are when we get called by AA-QQ. Need to work out the numbers but I think basically since Button didn't raise, a push is +EV here.

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11-23-2008 , 02:17 AM

Machew

old hand

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 1,236

I don't know how important this is, but the 14/12 made his raise bigger than normal. With two limpers, the standard raise would be to $1.50, but he raises to $2.25. He might be doing this because he has JJ+ and only want's one caller, or maybe he knows that the two limpers are loose enough that they're going to call a larger than usual raise, so he's getting more money in with the likely best hand preflop. Just something to think about.

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11-23-2008 , 02:18 AM

tannenj

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2006 Posts: 8,393

he made it $2.25 because he's bad, don't overthink it.

given the above, i like bumping it to $6-7 (and calling a shove, obviously).

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