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[25NL]AA in a questionable postion [25NL]AA in a questionable postion

05-02-2008 , 05:26 PM
Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em - 8 players
2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked

UTG+1: $7.10
MP1: $53.25
MP2: $37.05
CO: $22.10
Hero (BTN): $26.05
SB: $24.05
BB: $38.05
UTG: $25.60

Pre Flop: Hero is BTN with A A
1 fold, UTG+1 raises to $0.50, 3 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 1 fold, BB calls $1.25, UTG+1 calls $1

Flop: ($4.60) 6 K 9 (3 players)
BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $2.75, BB raises to $7, UTG+1 folds, Hero calls $4.25

Turn: ($18.60) 9 (2 players)
BB bets $12

BB is 8/6 over 250 hands. I haven't really clashed with villain afaik. Can I fold this turn having called his reraise on flop?
[25NL]AA in a questionable postion Quote
05-02-2008 , 05:30 PM
Interesting. They represent exactly 2 hands - KK and AA. Perhaps this is really AK being overplayed. I'd look them up.
[25NL]AA in a questionable postion Quote
05-02-2008 , 07:24 PM
Preflop: I would have raised more preflop, maybe $2 or $2.50. I would rather have just one player in this pot. I think your raise was too small, you were inviting SCs, one-two gappers a chance to call for too cheap a price.

Flop: I bet about $4 here.

As played on the flop: BB check raises and with his numbers it sure looks like a set. If you call you are pretty much pot committed. I would either fold or shove right here. But looking at his numbers, I prolly find a fold.
[25NL]AA in a questionable postion Quote
05-02-2008 , 10:02 PM
Set looks quite likely here, particularly sixes... theres also some chance hes decided to go crazy with AK but calling the turn ull have to call the rest of ur stack on the river so I'd say fold
[25NL]AA in a questionable postion Quote
05-03-2008 , 12:03 AM
+1 for 66 in my opinion
given the fact htat hes got vpip of 6... its def. either 66 or AK

id have to go with my gut.

im leaning more towards the 6's tho
[25NL]AA in a questionable postion Quote
05-03-2008 , 12:08 AM
Looks more like AK to me than a set (min raise UTG, calls smallish 3bet) Most tight players would just call flop bet here with this board (rainbow), and then raise on turn.

3bet more there, like 2 or 2.5.
[25NL]AA in a questionable postion Quote
05-03-2008 , 12:26 AM
Give the way this has played i think you have to call/shove the turn(expect to see a set often). The cont sized bet on the flop makes it look like you could hold TT+, AK, Meaning he could think his ak is good. In future bet more on the flop at least if not pre flop aswell. if you bet the pot the only thing he is coming over you with is a set.

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

616 games 0.005 secs 123,200 games/sec

Board: Kc 9h 6s 9c
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 52.597% 49.03% 03.57% 302 22.00 { KK+, 99, 66, AKs, AKo }
Hand 1: 47.403% 43.83% 03.57% 270 22.00 { AdAh }
[25NL]AA in a questionable postion Quote
05-03-2008 , 01:11 AM
These 8/6 types do not go crazy with AK. I also do not think he calls with 66 when there is a raise and a re-raise. So I think its kk/aa/99 in that order. That said it sucks to be you here, raise more preflop and I stack off with AA here. Prepared to see quads or kings full and puke.
[25NL]AA in a questionable postion Quote

      
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