Interesting spot with pockect 2.

I tanked on the Turn: he could have a 3 (but probably not), a pocket pair, AK, AXs or bluffing.
But would he bet so big with a hand so strong like 3 or pocket pair and scare everybody? And why did he check twice if his hand was so strong? On the other hand, a flush draw would maybe bet the flop.
Not sure his actions make sense.


$0.10 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG+1: 82.7 BB (VPIP: 23.86, PFR: 15.91, 3Bet Preflop: 8.82, Hands: 88)
MP: 138.2 BB (VPIP: 21.90, PFR: 1.46, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 139)
MP+1: 123.5 BB (VPIP: 14.95, PFR: 9.67, 3Bet Preflop: 6.90, Hands: 1,143)
CO: 100 BB
BTN: 108.9 BB (VPIP: 19.07, PFR: 11.41, 3Bet Preflop: 3.17, Hands: 1,000)
SB: 168.4 BB (VPIP: 17.95, PFR: 14.75, 3Bet Preflop: 2.16, Hands: 2,824)
Hero (BB): 112.1 BB
UTG: 103.2 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB, CO posts penalty blind 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.5 BB) Hero has 2 2

fold, fold, MP calls 1 BB, fold, CO checks, fold, SB raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 2 BB, MP calls 2 BB, CO calls 2 BB

Flop: (12 BB, 4 players) 3 5 3
SB checks, Hero checks, MP checks, CO checks

Turn: (12 BB, 4 players) 3
SB checks, Hero bets 4 BB, fold, CO calls 4 BB, SB raises to 21.5 BB, Hero?

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Hard to make sense of his play. Preflop and flop look exactly like missed overcards. A big pair would have led for sure, and even Axs too. So that narrows his range to overcards or monster (55/A3) on the flop.

But the turn action doesn't fit with that range at all. A big x/r with overcards against two villains would be super gutsy there, which isn't consistent with his classic TAG stats. Likewise, such a big move with a monster doesn't make sense either. Unless he thinks one of you have something and won't give him credit for much and he thinks he can get a call. That's probably more likely than him bluffing there.

Since the only hands you beat are complete bluffs I think you have to fold to such a big x/r.


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