Hi,

Villian is a 21/14/3.2af (infact, he tends to be aggro on all streets including river at 4.5 - though I dont expect him to ever Ch/R OTR) ABC "reg" with CO open range of: 26%, 19% open raise from CO. No reads at hand im afraid (there saved on the site rather than my db - an error I really do need to fix. Old habits die hard I guess)

Villian has a WTS of 17%, W$SD 59%.

Flop CB: 69%, ch/raise flop cb: 0% (15)

fold to turn CB: 100 (3) and nothing OTR. 657 hands at the time.

So I flat IP PF, somewhat standard baring in mind this guy (like so many at the MG), has very strange 3B/4B stats (Ft3B of 43% and yet a somewhat wide 4B stat of 28.6% - I would expect him to 4B things like 99 for value. Even vs me (Somewhat laggy reg, but not exactly completly off the wall)

Flop comes AJ3r, not a bad board to CB and yet he doesnt. So what to put him on? A hand trying to play for pot control - so, Ax small, Jx, QQ, KK, TT type hands.

So I make the decision to 2 barrel or 3 barrel bluff him off what he most likely has. I make my standard 2/3 flop bet incase he actually has complete air (Now I know we have very little equity, but I have a good read on this guy it felt at the time). Now, its worth noting that my perceived range here isnt going to be huge... but my 3barreling range is so often strong at these stakes, I would be snap folding TPTK to a river bet anyway vs me.

Turn is a blank, not an amazing barrel card I grant... but im sticking with my read. He will, in all likelyhood much Jx here. He flats.

River brings a third dimond. I dont expect him to have the BD FD, if so... so be it. And since he aint raised the turn, he is not going to have 2pair + all that often (minus A4, but thats not exactly a huge aspect of his range). Therefore the third dimond is likely going to be scarey for villian given his unwillingness to get to SD.

1) Sizing. This generally is my value bet sizing vs this type of villian. Ideally river could have been larger, but I do think he is now snap folding Ax, QQ, KK type hands

2) Spew or not spew...

3) TL;DR - For those who cba to read the above: I put him on weak Ax, Jx OTF... three barrel bluffed since I feel I can fold out pretty much all of his range which didnt improve.