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20nl AA river? 20nl AA river?

03-26-2012 , 01:58 PM
not many stats on villain but he is not a reg

55 hands playing 35/33 5af

CO: $21.52 (107.6 bb)
Hero (BTN): $20.50 (102.5 bb)
SB: $13.10 (65.5 bb)
BB: $5.29 (26.5 bb)
UTG+1: $25.98 (129.9 bb)
UTG+2: $21.92 (109.6 bb)
MP1: $20.40 (102 bb)
MP2: $29.69 (148.5 bb)
MP3: $19.10 (95.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with A A
3 folds, MP2 raises to $0.60, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.80, 2 folds, MP2 calls $1.20

Flop: ($3.90) K 2 J (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $2.50, MP2 calls $2.50

Turn: ($8.90) 8 (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $6.50, MP2 calls $6.50

River: ($21.90) Q (2 players)
MP2 bets $10.95,
20nl AA river? Quote
03-26-2012 , 02:17 PM
I think I'd have probably just jammed the turn. As played I'd fold river and punch the wall.
20nl AA river? Quote
03-26-2012 , 06:06 PM
I doubt you win if you call most of the time. Fold. No need to punch the wall
20nl AA river? Quote
03-26-2012 , 06:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ThatsNotPoker
I think I'd have probably just jammed the turn. As played I'd fold river and punch the wall.
Jamming turn would be pretty bad as you'd be 2x'ing the pot and he's gonna fold most draws and 1pr hands.

River is probably a close call just cos he has stuff like AK/AQ/QT and some missed FDs, and he's giving you 3:1.

As we think he's probably a fish, I bet more on the flop and turn.
20nl AA river? Quote
03-26-2012 , 09:53 PM
yeah i agree shipping turn here would be bad


i was aware of price i was getting but felt it was bit awkward eg
AK gets it in pre some%, check raises or donks flop and unlikely just leads on this river he prob perceive it as scary
AQ prob just checks back river hoping to win or check raises flop
9T got there which is possible i guess (low combos)
QQ, QJ, KQ,

and his flush draws prob spaz out earlier like on flop or turn =/
20nl AA river? Quote
03-26-2012 , 10:28 PM
I honestly call here 100% of the time
20nl AA river? Quote
03-26-2012 , 11:05 PM
I think villain has you beat and doesn't want to give you a free showdown.
20nl AA river? Quote
03-26-2012 , 11:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SA16
I honestly call here 100% of the time
Is it close? Huge leak if I fold this?
20nl AA river? Quote
03-27-2012 , 01:06 AM
I'm also in the boat of Almost never folding this unless I know villain is a mega ultra calling station. I would probably be betting more than you did hoping that a straight draw isn't coming along. Assuming the villain is a fish I would only be scared of a flush draw and it didn't hit so I'm calling.
20nl AA river? Quote
03-27-2012 , 01:23 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SA16
I honestly call here 100% of the time
Agree
20nl AA river? Quote
03-27-2012 , 07:43 AM
sigh folding
20nl AA river? Quote
03-27-2012 , 08:32 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Utiltinbro
I'm also in the boat of Almost never folding this unless I know villain is a mega ultra calling station. I would probably be betting more than you did hoping that a straight draw isn't coming along. Assuming the villain is a fish I would only be scared of a flush draw and it didn't hit so I'm calling.
I think we should have some proof that he is aggressive and he can bet weaker stuff , or bluff if we want to call.
You should always believe players , until you have proof they are aggressive enough , not do the opposite and consider unknown players aggressive fish by default.
20nl AA river? Quote

      
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