Alright ... played this Hand the other Day.

Had a 28 Hands Sample on Opponent, but Statwise he was shaping up to a Laggish Player .. very Aggressive Postflop.

33 % / 22 % / 60% .. FCB 0 .. CC 15%

In retrospective I think the OR is ****ty. 8d6d OOP against such an Opponent is not going to be profitable in the long Run and it is not a Hand in my Standard OR in the SB ... but I thought like ... if he calls, what I expected him to do most of the Time .. and I hit TwP+ .. I could make some Money by just letting him bet into me, if I pretend Weakness. Also it could be a possibility fore me to gather Information on him, if we went Showdown and showing him, that I open a wider Range in order to create a looser Image.

So he calls and the Flop arrives really favorable. Opponent Cold Calls 15% of Hands, which is not that wide of a Range fore a LAG I suppose.

22-99, KTo-KQo, K9s-KJs, Q9s-QJs, J9s-JTs, 98s, 87s, 76s, JTo, T9o, 98o

15 %

His CC Range doesn't connect all to well with this Flop, so I expected him to Fold the Flop most of the Time to a CBet.

So I CBet around 2/3 of the Pot and he Raises me.

The first Reaction was that he does not have 96s here.

I doubt he would ever raise me with the Nuts in this Spot, knowing that I can not have all to many Combos in my Range that could be uncomfortable fore him OTT.

So what does he Re-Raise me here with? I thought like ...

1) He either Semi-Bluffs an OESD here

66 (3)

76s (2)
98s (3)
T9s (4)
T9o (12)
98o (6)

2) Ore he is both raising me fore value + protecting a Hand that is ahead of my Range right now, but could be behind OTT with unvaforable Card showing up.

Therefore I thought there are only a handful of Hands he could have in this Spot.

55 (3)
77 (3)
88 (1)
99 (6)

87s (1)


Against that Range, I have slightly less 50% so I think my Decision to flat was right here.

Question 1: What would have you done in this Spot?

OTT interestingly .. the 7d does not change much in terms of Equity.

I am still slightly below 50% here.

His 70% Turn Betsize however appeared to me as if he means Business and wants to build a Pot.

Question 2: Would you Call/Fold ore Jam the Turn? And why?

I mean, at that moment I was leaning towards his Value Range, and I called because

1) I am a bad Player, just hoping that he has no Set ore even Quads at that Point

2) And hoping I can catch a 4 ore a 9 OTR, to complete my Straight and him only having Air/Pair + Busted Draw

Now the 9s on the River completet my Straight, and i checked, hoping fore a cheap Showdown, instead of Betting it for Value.

Question 3: What would have you done OTR? Bet ore Check?

He Insta-Ships 90% of his Stack, leaving $1,40 behind and at that Moment I knew I am beat.

There is no Hand I can possibly Beat. He is not bluffing here and all I can hope fore in this Spot is a Chop.

But, as I am a bad Player who still plays the Micros ... I called.

Turn is close. Rest is fine. X/C river looks good. I mean, you hope a big part of his range are bluffs, so let him go on.

Yeah I mean thats exactly the Thing, you know ...

I didnt really expect his Range on the River to contain a lot of Bluffs.

I think this is just another Example of .. what was right back in 2008 .. is still right in 2016.

At the Micros ... big Bets OTR almost always mean big Hands.