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200NL - 89s OOP w/Nothing 200NL - 89s OOP w/Nothing

03-17-2023 , 11:50 AM
BTN is 21/18/13 in 24 hands. Thoughts on shipping the rest on the river and hand as a whole are appreciated, thanks.

CO: 103.18 BB
BTN: 100 BB
Hero (SB): 100 BB
BB: 266.82 BB
UTG: 114.8 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8 9

fold, fold, BTN raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 11 BB, fold, BTN calls 8.5 BB

Flop: (23 BB, 2 players) 2 6 K
Hero bets 10.93 BB, BTN calls 10.93 BB

Turn: (44.85 BB, 2 players) 5
Hero bets 28.5 BB, BTN calls 28.5 BB

River: (101.85 BB, 2 players) 4
Hero?
200NL - 89s OOP w/Nothing Quote
03-17-2023 , 11:55 AM
I'm usually not 3-betting this from the SB, but it's probably fine. Flop I probably size down on this board and pure range bet it.

Turn bet I like when we pickup the gutter. OTR this is about as low in your SDV range as you can get here, so I like a ship.
200NL - 89s OOP w/Nothing Quote
03-17-2023 , 02:18 PM
B/B/B is gonna be the highest EV play here against pool imo.
200NL - 89s OOP w/Nothing Quote
03-17-2023 , 03:19 PM
Flop sizing is fine I think, we can range bet as long as our bet size is half pot or smaller. Turn I think is meh despite picking up equity. It depends on how often you think pool defends 99/88 OTF, speaking from intuition I think my pool overdefends it so we block a handful of turn folds. Of course that will mean they overdefend 77 as well, but that's one PP as opposed to 2. We also don't block top pair at all.
200NL - 89s OOP w/Nothing Quote
03-17-2023 , 04:02 PM
I'd slightly size down the flop. I think to bet the river we need villain to fold the majority of his Kx - I think he folds everything but Kx+ after that big turn bet, so we need to fold out stuff like KJ/KTs to make it work I think.
200NL - 89s OOP w/Nothing Quote
03-17-2023 , 04:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pokerfan655
I'd slightly size down the flop. I think to bet the river we need villain to fold the majority of his Kx - I think he folds everything but Kx+ after that big turn bet, so we need to fold out stuff like KJ/KTs to make it work I think.
Nah, he has backdoor spades here as well that are all calling flop and turn. AQ, AJ, AT, A9, QT, QJ, JT of spades.
200NL - 89s OOP w/Nothing Quote
03-17-2023 , 07:55 PM
thought it was going to x and bluff with tptk / gk blockers but it looks like it barrels this off
200NL - 89s OOP w/Nothing Quote

      
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