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16NL Aces up against overbet shove 16NL Aces up against overbet shove
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10-19-2014 , 12:44 PM
#1
Alergenic's Avatar
Alergenic
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journeyman
Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 342
Just 51 hands on Villian, There is AF:5.0(2.5,inf,5.0). WTSD:28.

SB: 105.63 BB (VPIP: 23.92, PFR: 17.94, 3Bet Preflop: 10.83, Hands: 425)
Hero (BB): 217.81 BB
UTG: 111.44 BB (VPIP: 22.73, PFR: 17.58, 3Bet Preflop: 4.50, Hands: 337)
MP: 38.75 BB (VPIP: 52.17, PFR: 26.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 46)
CO: 114.81 BB (VPIP: 44.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 17.86, Hands: 51)
BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 30.12, PFR: 21.69, 3Bet Preflop: 6.90, Hands: 88)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A K

fold, fold, CO calls 1 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 4 BB, CO calls 3 BB

Flop: (8.5 BB, 2 players) 4 A K
Hero bets 4 BB, CO calls 4 BB

Turn: (16.5 BB, 2 players) 2
Hero bets 11 BB, CO calls 11 BB

River: (38.5 BB, 2 players) T
Hero bets 24 BB, CO raises to 95.81 BB and is all-in, Hero - ?
16NL Aces up against overbet shove Quote
10-19-2014 , 12:53 PM
#2
DonkeyStars
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banned
Join Date: Jul 2014 Posts: 1,018
Bet more on the flop, turn is good.

I'd call river since he should be folding 22 on the flop and TT on the turn (or the flop), and he can't have the 2 combos of AA and KK.

So that just leaves 3 combos of 44 and maybe 16 QJ combos if he calls turn with them. There's enough worse 2 pairs a fish can jam here to make a call +EV (six combos A4, six of A2, 6 of AT. Plus he might be doing something REALLY ******ed with KT).
16NL Aces up against overbet shove Quote
10-19-2014 , 01:31 PM
#3
ambientsilence
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journeyman
Join Date: Oct 2014 Posts: 391
Villain seems like the kind that might try to pull a bluff here once in a while. There's also a non-zero chance of him shoving worse for value. So I'm calling but obviously not particularly happy about it.
16NL Aces up against overbet shove Quote
10-19-2014 , 04:28 PM
#4
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YourVeryBestEnemy
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journeyman
Join Date: Oct 2014 Posts: 254
Your sizing is really bad here. Bet-bet-jam imo.
16NL Aces up against overbet shove Quote
10-19-2014 , 05:18 PM
#5
$veno
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journeyman
Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 208
Quote:
Originally Posted by DonkeyStars
Bet more on the flop, turn is good.

I'd call river since he should be folding 22 on the flop and TT on the turn (or the flop), and he can't have the 2 combos of AA and KK.

So that just leaves 3 combos of 44 and maybe 16 QJ combos if he calls turn with them. There's enough worse 2 pairs a fish can jam here to make a call +EV (six combos A4, six of A2, 6 of AT. Plus he might be doing something REALLY ******ed with KT).
+1

Easy call
16NL Aces up against overbet shove Quote
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