Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Hero (UTG): $10 (100 bb)
CO: $10 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is UTG with 8
8
Hero raises to $0.25,
MP folds,
CO raises to $0.80, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.55
Flop: ($1.75) 5
K
K
(2 players)
Hero checks,
CO bets $1.10, Hero calls $1.10
Turn: ($3.95) 3
(2 players)
Hero checks,
CO bets $2.25,
Hero raises to $8.10 and is all-in
V is much more aggressive than general pool. V has at least AK, KQs, KJs, JJ+, AQss, AJss. We get snapped off by 8x AK, 2x KQs, and likely 2x KJs, for 12 combos. V needs to win 58.5/(58.5+143)=29% of the time to call turn, we expect folds from 6x JJ, 6x QQ, 6x AA, and his at least 2x FD's that have 18% and need 29% for a total of 20 hands.
On turn we are risking 81 to win 62, so we need to win 81/(81+62)=56.6%, if we think he only calls 12 combos and always folds at least 20 combos then we win this spot 20/(20+12)=62.5% of the time.
I was thinking about this spot and our ratio of value:bluff jamming turn here and came to the conclusion that value jamming AK, KQs, KJs and bluff jamming 88, 99, TT is a decent mix and unblocks some potential FD hands like QJss he can possibly 3bet pre and double barrel.
Thoughts on this proposed 40% value 60% bluff range here? Should we bluff more or less, and why?