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10NL: two-pair facing river bet after turn gets checked through on drawy board 10NL: two-pair facing river bet after turn gets checked through on drawy board

02-22-2011 , 01:52 PM
Villain is a nitty 14/12/3 after 77 hands.

Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter By DeucesCracked Poker Videos

BTN: $9.69
SB: $11.80
Hero (BB): $10.98
UTG: $9.13
CO: $11.04

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with A 4
3 folds, SB raises to $0.40, Hero calls $0.30

Flop: ($0.80) J A 2 (2 players)
SB bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

Turn: ($1.80) K (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($1.80) 4 (2 players)
SB bets $1.50

Easy fold? I'm ahead of A2, AQ, KJ, and I lose to AJ, AK, QT, flush, but villain likely barrels the turn with two pair (A2, AJ, AK) or a straight (QT). Nitty villain probably doesn't barrel with a turned flush draw, but do I fold two-pair here to a possible runner-runner flush?
10NL: two-pair facing river bet after turn gets checked through on drawy board Quote
02-22-2011 , 01:56 PM
I think you´re mostly beaten here...but in affect its hard to fold
10NL: two-pair facing river bet after turn gets checked through on drawy board Quote
02-22-2011 , 01:58 PM
I agree that you're probably not good a huge % of the time but I call this anyways because of how underrep'd your hand is. From the SB he could be raising a ton more Ax/Kx combos. Not betting a made hand on that turn on that board would be pretty silly of him given the many scare cards that could come for AK/AJ/KJ/22 etc. You should probably be betting the turn yourself here for the same reason. You have a hand that's vulnerable but might be best. You went the pot control route, improved on the river, now call.
10NL: two-pair facing river bet after turn gets checked through on drawy board Quote
02-22-2011 , 02:00 PM
how is this an easy fold? don't you think he 2nd barrels with the added fd equity? it's a super easy call.
10NL: two-pair facing river bet after turn gets checked through on drawy board Quote
02-22-2011 , 02:02 PM
Depends what you think about villain! If we have the opinion that villain is a bad player we would be more inclined to call but if villain for some reasons(good calls,good betsizing seems to be a competent foe we should fold!
10NL: two-pair facing river bet after turn gets checked through on drawy board Quote
02-22-2011 , 02:05 PM
I call very quickly
10NL: two-pair facing river bet after turn gets checked through on drawy board Quote

      
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