10NL Top Pair Nut Flush Draw - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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10NL Top Pair Nut Flush Draw

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04-06-2010 , 04:21 PM

SleightOfHand

enthusiast

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 52

Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 7 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: $31.80
BTN: $17.25
SB: $10.35
Hero (BB): $10.90
UTG: $13.35
UTG+1: $10.10
MP: $14.75

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BB with K

2 folds, MP calls $0.10, CO raises to $0.40, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, 1 fold, CO calls $1.10

Flop: ($3.15) Q

(2 players)
Hero bets $2.50, CO calls $2.50

Turn: ($8.15) 3

(2 players)
Hero???

Villain is 45/15/0.4 over 66 hands

Is this a instashove? I did, but I'm just curious if that was the right thing to do.

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04-06-2010 , 04:30 PM

saleens281sc

adept

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,141

Not insta-shove. He may not call with an A, but you want him too, because he only has like 0 outs. If he has a Q he is calling and you are drawing really bad. So shoving folds out everything that you beat and he is only going to call with things that beat you, like Q's and flushes. I would take a more passive line on the turn and check/call. You can value bet the river if it is a diamond, or A. Otherwise I'd try to get to showdown.

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04-06-2010 , 04:53 PM

AnAnonymousCoward

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 4,701

I'm having a hard time assigning a range to villain that opens for a raise, calls a 3bet, and that we still beat here. AJ? AT? Other than that, I think that we're up against something like AQ/KQ type hands. If villain isn't paying off with AJ/AT here, we're in really bad shape (unless he's a complete spaz).

Granted, villain looks to be fishy, but... meh. I think that I want to get to showdown here.

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04-06-2010 , 08:28 PM

Titanrulez

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 21,141

Check/call a small bet, check/fold to a shove. If he makes a small bet there we have the odds to draw to the flush and boat, but yet if this passive fish shoves we're almost always beat here.

I hate playing oop.

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04-07-2010 , 10:16 AM

mitchybenny

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,942

Deffo a C/x here depending on bet size. I would check and hope he bet small so we can hit the river. Its an odd line but the guy has an aggression of 0.4.

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04-07-2010 , 10:35 AM

PokerRon247

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 11,192

Quote:

Originally Posted by SleightOfHand

Villain is 45/15/0.4 over 66 hands

15% PFR is not passive, it is in fact more aggressive than most 25nl TAG regs.

AF is very probably not applicable over a 66 hand sample.

In fact, the sample is so small we can't say that he's a 45/15, we can only say that he's a bad, loose fish.

A bad, loose fish is not folding an A here if we bet. Even if we are occasionally beat by a made flush or Qx, we're drawing to 11 outs. We have $6.90 left in a $8.15 pot so we can either just shove it in or can bet something like $4 to commit him to the pot (as there are no river cards that we are scared of) and put the rest in on the river.

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04-07-2010 , 01:39 PM

WJL

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 1,388

I think I like a c/r AI here; nothing worse than what you have is going to call a shove, but some worse hands will take a stab if you check. The River can only help you, so if he checks through it isn't a big problem.

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