Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players

BTN: $12.24
SB: $11.02
BB: $3.00
Hero (UTG): $13.32
MP: $10.00
CO: $4.00

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with Q Q
Hero raises to $0.30, MP calls $0.30, 1 fold, BTN raises to $1.30, 2 folds, Hero ??


Villain 15/13 over 50 hands.
He 3Bets me one time in MP vs UTG.

Did he switch seats cause you're UTG now and he's button?? Anyway, I 4bet here to 3.50ish and get ready to get it in here or OTF with a lead jam on most boards. I'd hate to jam now and fold out all his worse hands. His stats are a little tough to read into too much even though he looks on the tighter side of TAG.

Maybe he 3Bet in other table... I can't say if he change the seat.

When he 5B-Push vs my 4B, is a good spot to QQ and a supposed AK?

He seems tight to be raising big with UTG and MP with a weak hand. I'd fold....does anyone support this?

Real spot:

Hand 0: 39.857% { QQ }
Hand 1: 60.143% { KK+, AKs, AKo }

Supposed spot:

Hand 0: 39.594% { AKs, AKo }
Hand 1: 60.406% { QQ+, AKs, AKo }

When he shoves vs 4B I think we need to fold. So... we just fold now or 4B/Fold?


You guys agree that 5B-Push is better than Call a 5B-Push?

I think 4bet fold is a bad idea. If we 4bet we should expect to get it in.

Yes 5b push is better than calling because you are committed if you call and who knows maybe he's an idiot and will fold. You'd be getting it in on the flop in the majority of the occasions.

With a field that no 5B bluff when I 4B him, he just throw away worst hands and keeps the best?

So, flat OOP and CRAI a flop Q- would not be the best play?

What else do you know about villain? You seem to be assigning him an extremely tight range here, so this tells me you know something more. What happened the last time he 3-bet you? Like I said previously, his stats can't really be that telling over only 50 hands so I don't feel we can assign him this tight of a range unless you have a read. I just can't see anything here but getting it in one way or another unless you can enlighten me to more than 15/13 stats over only 50 hands and 15 isn't THAT tight anyway. I'm thinking a range of more like 99+,AJs+,KQs,AKo which give us 58% equity. What's your image been? I could even eliminate KQs and 99 and AJs if you think he's so tight to 3-bet in position from the button, which we still have 53% equity.

Thoughts and feedback??

Ugly spot, lean towards this.