This hand came up during Friday night session. The presense of SB between me and the reg changes the hand dynamics a bit, making this hand perhaps at least somewhat interesting.
Reads:
SB is unknown, plays about 25/18
UTG+1 is a reg, 14/11 over >300 hands. 3bets ~1% of his hands, but has done so from early position, never from late position. (There is one repop on CO, but that was a 4bet with AA.)
UTG+1 certainly knows my stats, which usually converge around 16/14 but were closer to 11/10 at this time for the session. I'm pretty confident he knows SB's stats as well.
Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
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CO: $7.45
BTN: $5.30
SB: $7.90
BB: $10.00
Hero (UTG): $10.70
UTG+1: $11.80
UTG+2: $11.30
MP1: $2.00
MP2: $9.75
Pre Flop: Hero is UTG with K
K
Hero raises to $0.50, UTG+1 calls $0.50,
5 folds, SB calls $0.45,
1 fold
Flop: ($1.60) T
9
Q
(3 players)
SB bets $1.10,
Hero raises to $3.50,
UTG+1 raises to $11.30 all in, SB folds,
Hero scratches head
This was possibly the worst flop I can imagine. Not only does it hit standard calling ranges pretty damn hard, but it also gives me a relatively strong hand. In most situations this should be an easy call due to my remaining stack, but texture of the board and action is pretty atrocious. Also, the main problem with the gutshot is that even if I hit it with a clean out (non-diamond), my hand may still not be the best. Frankly, I have trouble assigning villain a reasonable range here. "Just stove it" is not good enough when I'm unsure what the likely holdings are.
At the time this hand occurred, I had seen villain shove only with top two, sets and made [nut] hands. Later on in the session I happened to snap him on a bad semi-bluff, when he shoved a baby flush draw. But when this hand was played, I did not have that information yet. I also have a note on him that he employs a good strategy against shorties. A decent player, and definitely above average in 10NL.
1) Can we call here profitably?
2) Would the answer change with the additional read?
3) What if villain was in later position and there was a flat-caller between me and him?