10NL: Flop a flush but the board has a terrible run out - Micro Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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10NL: Flop a flush but the board has a terrible run out

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02-17-2016 , 11:25 PM

GentlemanJack

adept

Join Date: Sep 2015 Posts: 949

Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

BTN: 237 BB (VPIP: 23.53, PFR: 16.39, 3Bet Preflop: 6.52, Hands: 245)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 8.70, PFR: 8.70, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
UTG: 100 BB (VPIP: 23.09, PFR: 17.66, 3Bet Preflop: 7.77, Hands: 741)
Hero (MP): 122.6 BB
CO: 103.2 BB (VPIP: 20.41, PFR: 17.01, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 300)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K

fold, Hero raises to 3.5 BB, fold, BTN calls 3.5 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (8.5 BB, 2 players) 9

Hero bets 4 BB, BTN calls 4 BB

Turn: (16.5 BB, 2 players) 3

Hero bets 10.4 BB, BTN calls 10.4 BB

River: (37.3 BB, 2 players) 9

Hero?

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02-18-2016 , 05:10 AM

Fatboy54

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 3,848

I guess you are asking if you should play the board or your hand? More 9s than 3s in villains range but a ton of other hands he plays this way (flush draw, mid pair) 22 and made flush unlikely. I think a big overbet here stands a good chance, with the added incentive you bluff catch if he makes a thin call.

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02-18-2016 , 05:22 AM

derjan

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 1,606

Like to bet small around 20% pot

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02-18-2016 , 05:25 AM

Fatboy54

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jul 2011 Posts: 3,848

^^ Yeah, thought of that, but it opens the door to an easy counter bluff. Also, this all pretty levelling for 10nl, but then op did ask.

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02-18-2016 , 06:31 AM

derjan

old hand

Join Date: Dec 2015 Posts: 1,606

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fatboy54

^^ Yeah, thought of that, but it opens the door to an easy counter bluff. Also, this all pretty levelling for 10nl, but then op did ask.

Sure but he might also make the herocall with the Ah and has to call with a lower pp because of the odds. And we can still call if we think he can blufraise us.

Don't really see what he can be bluffing with unless he turns a hand with decent showdown value into a bluff.

Last edited by derjan; 02-18-2016 at 06:46 AM.

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02-18-2016 , 07:43 AM

nossyj

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2016 Posts: 167

Snapfold pre...?

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