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10NL - Backdooring the nuts 10NL - Backdooring the nuts

11-16-2008 , 06:49 PM
Reads: Villain is a station

Full Tilt Poker $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

SB: $39.40
BB: $9.00
UTG: $10.00
MP: $4.80
CO: $10.90
Hero (BTN): $15.50

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with 8 A
2 folds, CO raises to $0.35, Hero calls $0.35, 1 fold, BB calls $0.25

Flop: ($1.10) 7 5 A (3 players)
BB checks, CO bets $0.75, Hero calls $0.75, BB folds

Turn: ($2.60) 4 (2 players)
CO checks, Hero checks

River: ($2.60) 3 (2 players)
CO bets $1.25, Hero ???

Do you shove here or go for a small value raise? How much?

Also I think I should be betting that turn or is checking behind better?
10NL - Backdooring the nuts Quote
11-16-2008 , 06:58 PM
why aren't you betting the turn, you have basically the nuts with a pair/fd. if you think he's really a station that will call a shove then go ahead. a 2 6 or strong ace probably isn't folding. his river bet doesn't look very much like strength so a raise to 4 or 5 might get called.
10NL - Backdooring the nuts Quote
11-16-2008 , 09:02 PM
Don't forget he also has the gutshot on the turn too. Perhaps he checked trying to get value for his top pair and didn't want to get pushed off his hand by a raise. Either way, I think a bet is in order when a fishy villain cbets and then checks this turn since he's not folding any draw or pair.

After carefully examining the board texture I think you can shove the river. Most fish don't bet this river with 2 pair or anything like that because it's scary. And it's very easy for him to get to the river with any 2 or 6 given the action.
10NL - Backdooring the nuts Quote
11-16-2008 , 10:08 PM
Shove without hesitation here, and be sad if you see a straight flush. Most likely villain has a 2 or trip 3 or something.
10NL - Backdooring the nuts Quote
11-17-2008 , 01:09 AM
[] The nuts
10NL - Backdooring the nuts Quote
11-17-2008 , 01:22 AM
if you know he's a station insta shove and even if he's not I insta shove @ 10nl the times you get called makes up for the times a smaller bet would have worked

You have so much equity on the turn you need to bet to get more money in the pot
10NL - Backdooring the nuts Quote

      
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