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10NL - Awkward river spot. 10NL - Awkward river spot.

10-14-2010 , 04:48 PM
Villain: 10/8 2.4AF. 180 hands. No history. This looks like AsQ big time to me. Maybe a frustrated set but I don't think that would be a huge part of his range.

Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (9 handed) - Full-Tilt Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

BB ($6.55)
UTG ($4.10)
UTG+1 ($10.40)
MP1 ($4.29)
MP2 ($10.65)
MP3 ($5.85)
Hero (CO) ($11.74)
Button ($4)
SB ($6.41)

Preflop: Hero is CO with K, K
3 folds, MP2 bets $0.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.50, 3 folds

Flop: ($1.15) 9, Q, 4 (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $0.65, MP2 calls $0.65

Turn: ($2.45) 6 (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $1.55, MP2 calls $1.55

River: ($5.55) 8 (2 players)
MP2 bets $7.95 (All-In), Hero folds

Total pot: $5.55 | Rake: $0.37
10NL - Awkward river spot. Quote
10-14-2010 , 05:38 PM
vs a 10/8 I don't mind a flat pre. I actually like it. They only continue with AA and QQ and QQ value stops by the turn.

I think your read is pretty decent. I hate this spot here, this guy is never bluffing. You need this to not be As at least 40% of the time to call and I don;t believe you'll make that. More like <5% vs almost anybody and 1% vs this V.
10NL - Awkward river spot. Quote
10-14-2010 , 05:41 PM
Think it's a good fold..you should consider betting flop and turn higher though.
10NL - Awkward river spot. Quote
10-14-2010 , 05:47 PM
I doubt this is AQx...why is he not betting with this hand. His stats tells us that we would bet a hand like this here always. TPTK and NFD...this is an awesome flop for that hand IMO. If anything it looks like AKx that is chasing his draw and you let him get there way too cheap IMO. Bet more on the flop and turn for sure. You need to make money in this spots cause there are times where villain might only value bet like $3 or $3.5 on the river and depending on your style you might look him up. So you have to make him pay to draw out on you.

Also I 3bet this pre. Not really much but maybe $1.4 or something like that. Smaller 3bets get looked up light cause you give villains the impression they can setmine.

And as played..... river is an easy snapfold.
10NL - Awkward river spot. Quote
10-14-2010 , 07:29 PM
No chance of JsJx here?

Why is he shoving with As when he is likely to get at least one more bet by checking?
10NL - Awkward river spot. Quote
10-14-2010 , 07:33 PM
I doubt it's ever JsJx

and he isn't getting one more bet by checking of course..his hand couldn't be more obvious and most hands, even Js are gonna check back a lot of the time

ironically hero has the only hand that might go for thin value if villain checks but villain of course doesn't know that
10NL - Awkward river spot. Quote

      
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