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10 NL ~ Two Pair v. Tiny River Bet 10 NL ~ Two Pair v. Tiny River Bet

11-27-2016 , 11:05 PM
Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (CO): $10.00
BTN: $10.41 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
SB: $10.00 (VPIP: 35.35, PFR: 25.25, 3Bet Preflop: 8.11, Hands: 103)
BB: $10.00 (VPIP: 24.22, PFR: 17.03, 3Bet Preflop: 7.76, Hands: 655)
UTG: $21.43 (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 22.73, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 46)
MP: $10.71 (VPIP: 29.23, PFR: 21.54, 3Bet Preflop: 6.76, Hands: 200)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A 5

fold, MP raises to $0.30, Hero raises to $0.80, fold, fold, fold, MP calls $0.50

I think A5s a great hand to 3B bluff with tons of equity and nut potential.

Flop: ($1.75, 2 players) 3 5 K
MP checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($1.75, 2 players) A
MP checks, Hero bets $1.10, MP raises to $2.60, Hero calls $1.50

I make a easy value bet and get X/R small. I think Villain would have 4B AK PF with a 11% 4B over 697 hands. I'm really only beat here by {55, 33}. I can see Villain X/R some combo draws like Ax, QJ, JT, QT and possibly a big Ax? Is there an argument here to jam?

River: ($6.95, 2 players) J
MP bets $2.00, Hero calls $2.00

River card completes the flush and AJ now beats me. Villain bets ~30% pot giving me about 4.5-to-1 on a call (18%). I don't think Villain would ever choose this sizing with a flush so I think his value range for this size mainly consists of {AJ (6), 55 (1), 33 (3)}.

Villain needs to have at least 3 combos of hands I can beat to make this call profitably. What do you guys think?
10 NL ~ Two Pair v. Tiny River Bet Quote
11-27-2016 , 11:21 PM
why did you check this flop?
10 NL ~ Two Pair v. Tiny River Bet Quote
11-28-2016 , 08:59 AM
Bet flop, think rest of the hand is fine, could be x/r just because you pretty much never have AK after checking flop
10 NL ~ Two Pair v. Tiny River Bet Quote

      
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