Winning Poker Network (Yatahay) - $0.10 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (CO): $10.00
BTN: $10.41 (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
SB: $10.00 (VPIP: 35.35, PFR: 25.25, 3Bet Preflop: 8.11, Hands: 103)
BB: $10.00 (VPIP: 24.22, PFR: 17.03, 3Bet Preflop: 7.76, Hands: 655)
UTG: $21.43 (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 22.73, 3Bet Preflop: 20.00, Hands: 46)
MP: $10.71 (VPIP: 29.23, PFR: 21.54, 3Bet Preflop: 6.76, Hands: 200)
SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A
5
fold,
MP raises to $0.30,
Hero raises to $0.80,
fold,
fold,
fold,
MP calls $0.50
I think A5s a great hand to 3B bluff with tons of equity and nut potential.
Flop: ($1.75, 2 players) 3
5
K
MP checks,
Hero checks
Turn: ($1.75, 2 players) A
MP checks,
Hero bets $1.10,
MP raises to $2.60,
Hero calls $1.50
I make a easy value bet and get X/R small. I think Villain would have 4B AK PF with a 11% 4B over 697 hands. I'm really only beat here by {55, 33}. I can see Villain X/R some combo draws like A
x
, Q
J
, J
T
, Q
T
and possibly a big Ax? Is there an argument here to jam?
River: ($6.95, 2 players) J
MP bets $2.00,
Hero calls $2.00
River card completes the flush and AJ now beats me. Villain bets ~30% pot giving me about 4.5-to-1 on a call (18%). I don't think Villain would ever choose this sizing with a flush so I think his value range for this size mainly consists of {AJ (6), 55 (1), 33 (3)}.
Villain needs to have at least 3 combos of hands I can beat to make this call profitably. What do you guys think?