Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
10 NL AQs 10 NL AQs

01-24-2010 , 06:39 PM
Should I call or not on the river?

Villian 71/2.2/.5

Over 45 hands but not sure if i had so many hands recorded against them at the time. I might have had no stats..

Poker Stars $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG: $22.00
UTG+1: $7.65
UTG+2: $11.15
MP1: $10.00
MP2: $10.55
CO: $5.00
Hero (BTN): $10.95
SB: $9.20
BB: $12.50

Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is BTN with A Q
1 fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, 4 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls $0.30

Flop: ($0.95) 6 6 3 (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $0.10, Hero raises to $0.50, UTG+1 raises to $0.90, Hero calls $0.40

Turn: ($2.75) J (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $2, Hero calls $2

River: ($6.75) Q (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $4.35 all in
10 NL AQs Quote
01-24-2010 , 08:18 PM
No, I dont think your ever ahead here imo.

Villains donk all kinds of crap but after he reraised your reraised etc etc and you missed your flush he has at least a 6 here, just fold.
10 NL AQs Quote
01-24-2010 , 08:21 PM
Ship flop anyone?
10 NL AQs Quote
01-24-2010 , 09:52 PM
Yeah I agree with ship flop.

If this were a decent enough sample size to actually consider AF, an AF of 0.5 means he's aggressive 1/3 of the time, which would equate to up to 1/3 of 71% of hands = up to 24% of all possible hands. That's pretty aggro.

He easily has a pocket pair or a worse draw here often enough compared to the times he has 6x or 33. Even against 6x we still have ~30% equity so it's not a huge mistake to get it in even against that.

Last edited by JH1; 01-24-2010 at 09:59 PM.
10 NL AQs Quote
01-24-2010 , 11:13 PM
Awesome, thanks a lot guys. Really appreciate the feedback once again. Still wrapping my head around this "math" thing
10 NL AQs Quote
01-25-2010 , 01:08 AM
ship flop or fold turn. river is an easy fold.
10 NL AQs Quote
01-25-2010 , 01:39 AM
Fist pump raise on the flop and call any shove.
10 NL AQs Quote

      
m