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BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT

07-21-2019 , 08:39 PM
BTN just sat down so assume unknown

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker HUD and Database Software

NL Holdem $0.10(BB)
BTN ($10.51) [VPIP: 25% | PFR: 20% | AGG: 55.6% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 20]
SB ($16.32) [VPIP: 32% | PFR: 24.4% | AGG: 26.5% | 3-Bet: 10.8% | Hands: 1388]
HERO ($13.56) [VPIP: 26.5% | PFR: 22.4% | AGG: 33% | 3-Bet: 10.9% | Hands: 91603]
HJ ($9.50) [VPIP: 23.7% | PFR: 16.5% | AGG: 27.5% | 3-Bet: 9.4% | Hands: 139]
CO ($10.00) [VPIP: 27.9% | PFR: 22% | AGG: 42% | 3-Bet: 7.3% | Hands: 315]

Dealt to Hero: T T

HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $0.22, SB Folds, HERO Raises To $0.94, BTN Raises To $2.60, HERO ?
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-21-2019 , 08:43 PM
ship
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-21-2019 , 08:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ionutd
ship
What's the worst pocket pair you ship?
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-21-2019 , 08:49 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
What's the worst pocket pair you ship?
Villain hasn't 3-bet once in 20 hands (besides this one of course).... Not sure I'm comfortable shipping.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-21-2019 , 08:50 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bailashtoreth
Villain hasn't 3-bet once in 20 hands.... Not sure I'm comfortable shipping.
These stats are gathered after the fact.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-21-2019 , 09:02 PM
BB vs BTN I’m 3betting 88+, ATs+, KQ+, maybe QJs. Once he 4bets it’s a player read but I think you have enough equity to ship with TT+ and AK. I wouldn’t call any of your range just 5bet shove/fold. Can’t fold out your whole 3 bet range besides QQ+ unless you 3bet super nitty so you’ll have to look at what hands you 3bet with, and decide on how many of them you want to continue with. The wider you 3bet, the wider you have to shove on 4bets

Last edited by invalidname94; 07-21-2019 at 09:07 PM.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-21-2019 , 09:02 PM
I ship too, and the worst PP that I do that with is this one.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-21-2019 , 09:04 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by invalidname94
The wider you 3bet, the wider you have to call shoves.
Huh? He's OOP so he's faced w/ a 4bet not a shove.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-21-2019 , 09:06 PM
Yeah, sorry world, edited my response because I realized the 4bet wasn’t a shove from the button.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-21-2019 , 09:13 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
These stats are gathered after the fact.
OK. Then I don't think I shove here. Why assume this unknown is 4-betting 99, 88, 77, Ax, Kx?

What range do you give villain to 4-bet? 88+,ATs+,A5s-A2s,KJs+,QJs,JTs,T9s,AJo+,KQo? Something like that? Anything else? Wider? Tighter?
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-21-2019 , 09:24 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bailashtoreth
OK. Then I don't think I shove here. Why assume this unknown is 4-betting 99, 88, 77, Ax, Kx?

What range do you give villain to 4-bet? 88+,ATs+,A5s-A2s,KJs+,QJs,JTs,T9s,AJo+,KQo? Something like that? Anything else? Wider? Tighter?
I think most people 4bet with a polarized range. The range you gave is very linear.

I'd put his 4bet range at JJ-AA/AKs/AKo

A2s-A5s/K5s-K8s/Q7s/Q8s and then maybe some T7s/85s type hands.

I am getting crushed by his value range obviously. But we have the 5th nuts and calling sucks.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-22-2019 , 12:21 AM
I think I would just fold. Unknowns 4bets in these positions aren't usually bluffs at all.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-22-2019 , 12:33 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DooDooPoker
I think most people 4bet with a polarized range. The range you gave is very linear.

I'd put his 4bet range at JJ-AA/AKs/AKo

A2s-A5s/K5s-K8s/Q7s/Q8s and then maybe some T7s/85s type hands.

I am getting crushed by his value range obviously. But we have the 5th nuts and calling sucks.
The range is somewhat merged, yes, but we are talking about micros here.
Most don't polarize their ranges, but that's just my experience. I think you're right. If the bet had been a little smaller, you could call, but with the bet size (in relation to stack size), you really need to raise or fold. I'd err on the side of folding.

I agree with Brokenstars that 4-bets at this level are usually value.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-22-2019 , 01:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Brokenstars
I think I would just fold. Unknowns 4bets in these positions aren't usually bluffs at all.
I think you and Balias are correct. I did end up shipping in game - but I think it is a mistake.

Results

Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker Tracking Software

NL Holdem $0.10(BB)
BTN ($10.51) [VPIP: 19.9% | PFR: 15% | AGG: 41.1% | 3-Bet: 3.5% | Hands: 293]
SB ($16.32) [VPIP: 32.3% | PFR: 24.2% | AGG: 27.4% | 3-Bet: 10.3% | Hands: 1496]
HERO ($13.56) [VPIP: 26.5% | PFR: 22.4% | AGG: 33% | 3-Bet: 10.8% | Hands: 91971]
HJ ($9.50) [VPIP: 24.1% | PFR: 16.9% | AGG: 26.2% | 3-Bet: 7.9% | Hands: 167]
CO ($10.00) [VPIP: 25.8% | PFR: 20.7% | AGG: 44.7% | 3-Bet: 7% | Hands: 384]

Dealt to Hero: T T

HJ Folds, CO Folds, BTN Raises To $0.22, SB Folds, HERO Raises To $0.94, BTN Raises To $2.60, HERO Raises To $13.56 (allin), BTN Calls $7.91 (allin)

Flop ($24.12): 9 9 7

Turn ($24.12): 9 9 7 4

River ($24.12): 9 9 7 4 7

Spoiler:

BTN shows: A A

BTN wins: $20.02
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-22-2019 , 05:08 AM
sry, I meant ship vs confirmed competent v
and I think it's correct to ship at least 88+ and a good amount of the AXs you 3b vs a guy 4b aggressively
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-22-2019 , 10:04 AM
The math in this spot is reasonably straightforward. Expect ~33% vs his 4b/c range unless he's looser (AQ, 99). To make 5b +EV you need him to F5 ~ 40%. If your local reg population 4b bluffs enough, it's a clear jam. If not, it's call or fold.

FWIW, as a default I 3/5 here with 99+, AQ+, ATs, AJs, KQs. But I expect to get enough folds to make the weaker end of that at least neutral EV, and I don't call 4b in this spot.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-22-2019 , 10:22 AM
shoving all day from these positions, you don't want to give 3 cards for free

edit : okay no, I saw the dude's stats, just fold
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-22-2019 , 12:46 PM
vs an unknown I'm shipping all day

It can never really be that bad if he is opening wide otb which most people will

vs this guy, I'd mix pre (lean toward flat tbh) and as played fold to 4b
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-22-2019 , 03:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Fleetttt
vs an unknown I'm shipping all day

It can never really be that bad if he is opening wide otb which most people will

vs this guy, I'd mix pre (lean toward flat tbh) and as played fold to 4b
I agree with you for a bb vs btn that's unknown.

I just wanted to point out that your conclusion doesn't follow from the bolded although they are correlated of course.

What I mean is the % of the time that a person opens OTB doesn't necessarily tell you how wide they 4bet or how wide they call a 5bet shove. They should be defending wider if they open a wider range but if they are doing it as an exploit they may not be.

In other words, you can only weakly say that higher RFI leads to wider 4bets and wider 5bet calls.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-22-2019 , 04:16 PM
Why 3-bet if you're not gonna ship it? TT is too good a hand to waste as a bluff. If you're not happy shipping then flat, you're guaranteed heads up and TT isn't that difficult to play postflop, even OOP, against a wide range. If he flops an ace with A2 or something, you're not gonna lose a big pot and if the flop is like 237 you'll be happy.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-22-2019 , 04:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WorldzMine
I agree with you for a bb vs btn that's unknown.

I just wanted to point out that your conclusion doesn't follow from the bolded although they are correlated of course.

What I mean is the % of the time that a person opens OTB doesn't necessarily tell you how wide they 4bet or how wide they call a 5bet shove. They should be defending wider if they open a wider range but if they are doing it as an exploit they may not be.

In other words, you can only weakly say that higher RFI leads to wider 4bets and wider 5bet calls.
I understand your point

What I mean is that if villain is opening wide and not 4betting enough for jamming TT to be ok, they are either over-folding or over-defending by flatting. So the EV we lose by 5betting should be made up for by the EV we gain by seeing flops or winning pre when villain folds.

I'm not exactly sure where the equilibrium point is obviously because it's too complicated to solve, but that's my opinion purely from an understanding of EV and previous experience.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-22-2019 , 04:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Barfunkel
Why 3-bet if you're not gonna ship it? TT is too good a hand to waste as a bluff. If you're not happy shipping then flat, you're guaranteed heads up and TT isn't that difficult to play postflop, even OOP, against a wide range. If he flops an ace with A2 or something, you're not gonna lose a big pot and if the flop is like 237 you'll be happy.
your whole post assumes I get 4bet everytime.

This is not the case.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-22-2019 , 04:26 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Barfunkel
Why 3-bet if you're not gonna ship it? TT is too good a hand to waste as a bluff.
As an exploit against people who 4bet too tight. Vs an unknown you should be likely be 5bet shipping, unless, you think your pop 4bets too tight. If you don't 3bet TT as a default your 3bet ranges become too tight and you are missing value. Their's no "hand wasting" involved. Not 3betting would be the actual example of "hand wasting". That thought is what leads fish to flat their big pairs or AK type hands or min raise them. As a result, they miss tons of value more times than not, causing them to lose overall. Not that just that is the overall cause of their losing but it sure doesn't help them.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-22-2019 , 10:04 PM
Am I missing something? Half the people in the thread talking about stats after 20 hands? Is it time to put out my Nitmas tree already? Shove and don't think twice or call.
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote
07-23-2019 , 09:07 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by simplelessons
Am I missing something? Half the people in the thread talking about stats after 20 hands? Is it time to put out my Nitmas tree already? Shove and don't think twice or call.
95% of regs on 2+2 do this

Every time I see it I'm seriously like
BTNvsBB Preflop Spot with TT Quote

      
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