BB vs BTN I’m 3betting 88+, ATs+, KQ+, maybe QJs. Once he 4bets it’s a player read but I think you have enough equity to ship with TT+ and AK. I wouldn’t call any of your range just 5bet shove/fold. Can’t fold out your whole 3 bet range besides QQ+ unless you 3bet super nitty so you’ll have to look at what hands you 3bet with, and decide on how many of them you want to continue with. The wider you 3bet, the wider you have to shove on 4bets
Last edited by invalidname94; 07-21-2019 at 09:07 PM.
I think most people 4bet with a polarized range. The range you gave is very linear.
I'd put his 4bet range at JJ-AA/AKs/AKo
A2s-A5s/K5s-K8s/Q7s/Q8s and then maybe some T7s/85s type hands.
I am getting crushed by his value range obviously. But we have the 5th nuts and calling sucks.
The range is somewhat merged, yes, but we are talking about micros here.
Most don't polarize their ranges, but that's just my experience. I think you're right. If the bet had been a little smaller, you could call, but with the bet size (in relation to stack size), you really need to raise or fold. I'd err on the side of folding.
I agree with Brokenstars that 4-bets at this level are usually value.
The math in this spot is reasonably straightforward. Expect ~33% vs his 4b/c range unless he's looser (AQ, 99). To make 5b +EV you need him to F5 ~ 40%. If your local reg population 4b bluffs enough, it's a clear jam. If not, it's call or fold.
FWIW, as a default I 3/5 here with 99+, AQ+, ATs, AJs, KQs. But I expect to get enough folds to make the weaker end of that at least neutral EV, and I don't call 4b in this spot.
It can never really be that bad if he is opening wide otb which most people will
vs this guy, I'd mix pre (lean toward flat tbh) and as played fold to 4b
I agree with you for a bb vs btn that's unknown.
I just wanted to point out that your conclusion doesn't follow from the bolded although they are correlated of course.
What I mean is the % of the time that a person opens OTB doesn't necessarily tell you how wide they 4bet or how wide they call a 5bet shove. They should be defending wider if they open a wider range but if they are doing it as an exploit they may not be.
In other words, you can only weakly say that higher RFI leads to wider 4bets and wider 5bet calls.
Why 3-bet if you're not gonna ship it? TT is too good a hand to waste as a bluff. If you're not happy shipping then flat, you're guaranteed heads up and TT isn't that difficult to play postflop, even OOP, against a wide range. If he flops an ace with A2 or something, you're not gonna lose a big pot and if the flop is like 237 you'll be happy.
I just wanted to point out that your conclusion doesn't follow from the bolded although they are correlated of course.
What I mean is the % of the time that a person opens OTB doesn't necessarily tell you how wide they 4bet or how wide they call a 5bet shove. They should be defending wider if they open a wider range but if they are doing it as an exploit they may not be.
In other words, you can only weakly say that higher RFI leads to wider 4bets and wider 5bet calls.
I understand your point
What I mean is that if villain is opening wide and not 4betting enough for jamming TT to be ok, they are either over-folding or over-defending by flatting. So the EV we lose by 5betting should be made up for by the EV we gain by seeing flops or winning pre when villain folds.
I'm not exactly sure where the equilibrium point is obviously because it's too complicated to solve, but that's my opinion purely from an understanding of EV and previous experience.
Why 3-bet if you're not gonna ship it? TT is too good a hand to waste as a bluff. If you're not happy shipping then flat, you're guaranteed heads up and TT isn't that difficult to play postflop, even OOP, against a wide range. If he flops an ace with A2 or something, you're not gonna lose a big pot and if the flop is like 237 you'll be happy.
Why 3-bet if you're not gonna ship it? TT is too good a hand to waste as a bluff.
As an exploit against people who 4bet too tight. Vs an unknown you should be likely be 5bet shipping, unless, you think your pop 4bets too tight. If you don't 3bet TT as a default your 3bet ranges become too tight and you are missing value. Their's no "hand wasting" involved. Not 3betting would be the actual example of "hand wasting". That thought is what leads fish to flat their big pairs or AK type hands or min raise them. As a result, they miss tons of value more times than not, causing them to lose overall. Not that just that is the overall cause of their losing but it sure doesn't help them.
Am I missing something? Half the people in the thread talking about stats after 20 hands? Is it time to put out my Nitmas tree already? Shove and don't think twice or call.
Am I missing something? Half the people in the thread talking about stats after 20 hands? Is it time to put out my Nitmas tree already? Shove and don't think twice or call.