[converted_hand][hand_history]WPN, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
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Villain is playing 28/18/0 over ~100 hands. Not much to go on but probably calls IP too much and only 3bets QQ+ and AK.
SB: $5.74 (114.8 bb)
BB: $10.31 (206.2 bb)
UTG: $5 (100 bb)
MP: $7.03 (140.6 bb)
Hero (CO): $5.63 (112.6 bb)
BTN: $7.79 (155.8 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with A
A
UTG raises to $0.14,
MP folds,
Hero raises to $0.45, BTN calls $0.45, 2 folds, UTG calls $0.31
So first of all I think the over call is pretty weird. I think villains range is pretty much 99-JJ and maybe some suited broadways. Villain 2 is pretty much calling entire UTG opening range other than hands he wants to 4b.
Flop: ($1.42) 7
3
8
(3 players)
UTG checks,
Hero bets $0.60, BTN calls $0.60, UTG calls $0.60
I would usually go 1/3 sizing OTF with most of my 3b range on this board. Decide to size up slightly considering its multi way and I'm out of position to one player. When the IP player calls I'm putting him on an overpair like 99-JJ maybe even QQ given how tight villain has been playing. We block the nfd so the only flush draws I see him overcalling PF and then calling the flop are like KQss, maybe QJss. I don't really see how he could call with any offsuit broadways PF. When villain 2 calls as well I'm putting the same overpairs minus QQ and more suited fd combos like T9ss, JTss, etc. Then again a lot of those fd combos would likely check raise and look to scoop up potential dead money. Then he'll also have some random garbage that decides to see a turn that we crush.
Turn: ($3.22) K
(3 players)
UTG checks, Hero checks,
BTN bets $2.29,
UTG folds,
Hero raises to $4.58 and is all-in, BTN calls $2.29
Pretty weird turn. Neither players have KK and the Ks diminishes a lot of the broadway combos that either player could have, especially the PF overcaller. I decide a check planning to c/r given that villain stabs a lot of missed turn cbets. I think we have the best hand here most of the time and we still have equity even if we're behind. The only flushes villain overcalls PF with are QJss, maybe TJss and I think both of those hands can be discounted a lot of the time. The only set I'm semi concerned about are 88. When OOP villain folds I think we're ahead pretty much always. Do you think we should just fire again and look to rip it in OTR or snap vs a raise OTT?
River: ($12.38) T
(2 players, 1 is all-in)