How was vyk "trending" anything when you made that post?

Teach me, plz, solve the game as you said you will do.

I'll be rereading the thread when I get home

I have SOME thoughts now but they're weird and I'd rather have a more educated opinion than start blabbing at work

That second quote was directed at Tom.

you have it WANT IT more than the other guy

We are all aware that Ronny not-so-subtly seer hunted me, dropped his vote on me and left right?

lol

I have no idea how you and cory canngo at it so hard and them but like "i hope hes not a wolf yo"

The thing I didn't like about this analysis: Who the **** counts on Mets as a mislynch? Cory says Mets is very capable of self-clearing, which is true and well known, but then he sort of forgets about it in the rest of the analysis.

From my perspective, the sequence went like this:

1.) Mets isn't very villagery at all. Tom finds him wolfy.

2.) Mets becomes villagery. Tom softens his stance.

That's something a wolf could do, but it's also what a villager should do and wolves often struggle to get the second part right.

Thread needs more Cory or I'm in danger of backsliding.

Let me just quit my job

WW IS SRS BSNS YO

I need to do some reading to acquire better/more/more confident wolf reads - I should have more time and energy tomorrow. In the mean time, here are some villager leans:

Mets is a villager a lot. I can't remember wolf Mets ever fooling me on real life day four of a game. And if you don't want to take my word for it, you can take everyone else's.

Timon's another consensus villager who I have as a villager, for roughly the same reasons as everyone else. Moving on.

WN is going beyond what he has done the last several times I've seen him wolf. There's one reason to be suspicious: day two has dawned and he doesn't seem to think I'm a wolf. But the way he's posting takes precedence.

I'm willing to patiently wait for Hoya to die. (I don't know why people had him as a villager lean on d1. The correct read was, "Dunno, beats me.")

Then I may have a peek or two from outside of the above group.

That cheered me up a little. Add a couple of mechanically clear players to that list and it should win quite often.

I think I can sort of read hoya. It may be false confidence based on him always randing villager in games I'm in, but nevertheless, I believe it. I also feel like I have read his wolf games and have some idea of what I think he does as a wolf. I suppose anything is possible, but then you add SHC and I feel pretty good about it.

Ronny

Carl Spackler

Hidden Wolf

that would be the most straightforward solution

I'm slowly going through the thread again and Carl's first few posts still read really wolfy to me. The whole vote well named -> half ass explain why -> say it was a joke vote progression was pretty bad.

Vyk, do you think wolf carl fake peeks his wolfbro on d1?

@Tappo,

Remember last year's slow game you railed where I was a wolf and in post game you came in to say that you wanted to sub in to quote a post I made where I explained my read on some villager, and the conclusion did not have much to do with the content of the post? that's how I feel about Carl's first few posts in the game.

We are converging on the solve

I feel it

Sippin on coke and rum
I'm like so what I'm drunk
It's the freakin weekend baby
I'm about to have me some fun

Wolf Tom who was controlling the thread and the alliance can easily believe he can get me mislynched.

I'm not saying that's what happened but it definitely could

Not to douse anyone's erections but a Ronny/Carl start solve doesn't really make sense to me. If Ronny is a wolf - and at this point this is just probable, I hope Tom picked up on my "ARCBELL" signal as to one of the MAJOR reasons I think he is - I highly doubt Carl defends him like that, specifically near EOD1. We are talking the Carl Spackler who bussed a strong / mostly hidden wolfbro in Mucks last game; not to say Carl would bus HARD again, but considering Ronny would be 100% dead weight to a wolf team does a wolfbro go out of his way to defend him, especially one who typically finds +EV situations to bus a wolfbro?

It almost seems too simple, and I know I was all about Level 1 werewolf but it looks like I'm not all about it again.

Of course I say this all with a ~medium retention of the thread so far so maybe I'll see something I don't see on reread. There are a lot of people I feel good about and I haven't had any beef with the PoE as it's going today but the major bad news of that Annie flips is that we have PROBABLY one wolf that's doing very well. I still have Tomfoil but I don't want to start a fight with him today and I don't disagree with where he's going so he's back on my "no-table" list.

Will start rereading and keep a tap open if anyone wants to shoot the ****. I'm scraping most of my ideas and starting over for the DEEP WOLF paranoia and because I want to see if a fresh take leads me to similar conclusions.

I think I've watched you play one game recently and it was a turbo where you were seer and got mislynched by gambit

I feel like you're the biggest mixed bag in ww

Mets can self-clear but he doesn't always do it and sometimes the thread will completely turn on him. I've seen him play once in the past like year, and Tom has had no problem lynching claimed doctors / etc, so if you think anything would be "out of bounds" to him you don't really know him. Everyone is a mislynch until they screech so far out of their villager range it's impossible, and I don't see 300-post UAW in this game anywhere.

The caveat at the end is probably something I should have kept in mind but OH WELL

I'd have voted Ronny but remember it's 6 TO MAJ today and I think he's already pretty close

This is my first serious free time of the week so I will be FURIOUS if you do not let me use it

So I got mislynched once in a turbo and now I'm a mixed bag? Why don't you look at vanilla game mislynch stats in the database

Secondly, are you trying to agree or disagree with my post?

I is confused

Okay he's at 3 so he's not exactly on the EDGE but this just reaffirms how necessary it is for me to seriously read the thread