and while we're at it:
[QUOTE=G0tGame?;16350747]lock villager:
Chris

slight villa leans:
AoS
IFTN
Mets
Kwami

slight wolf leans:
Danny
Tel
wahoo

seer is 1/2 wolf imo

now cards or coordi have to be the last wolf and I'm awesome

fixed

Mac, could you re-read both Telcontar and AoS and tell me how likely you think it is that AoS is the last wolf?

Here's Tel's interactions from early in the day yesterday. The first one is with gotgame discussing whethere or not wahoo would peek traz. He ends up thinking IFTN was the villa peek. We can deduce two things--

--IFTN is the wolf buddy that Tel is protecting
--Tel is trying to make himself look good.

I'm going with the latter for now.



I'm sure Tel isn't going to bus Mac here if it's w/w interaction, I have to think that Mac is villa based on this post.

This is when Mac was in danger of getting majored. I'm really not sure what to make of this move. This is particularly curious as he has a chance to get a mislynch if it is indeed v/v, who might he be protecting?

To top it off, Mac thinks Coordi's villa.

So I guess we need to consider if Tel's confident enough to bus Mac and whether we would believe that or not. I personally think Mac has to be villa and last night was the proof.

I think the only time AoS mentions Tel:

cool, you don't have an opinion on the wagons, but kinda prefer the Danny one, because all your villas are on him. okay.

you think cardsman's vote is wolfy and try to start a CFD on him. okay (thought it obviously looks bad, since Danny was wolf)

cardsman clearly doesn't start, which is obvious well before EoD. you switch to your preferred wagon, right? butnaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaah

typical last listed wolf tell

above AoS is pretty much just saying "I preferred the Danny wagon, but did NOT want to vote him, even thought I, as a good villager, shoudl have made a decision between the two. I even started a CFD attempt"
so why could that be?

to top it all off you have the guy you suspect the most of being a wolf (cardsman) voting for the wagon you like less out of the two (chris). obviously you switch to the other wagon (danny), right? no you don't, since he's your wolf buddy.

cards/AoS really should win it
after that probably IFTN or coordi, to be reevalutated

We've not paid much attention to g0tgame, but we probably ought to at least take a look.

"Let's sit back and watch now"

This post is pretty villagery, but note that telcontar made the same move.

The rest of the village already thought that and we had moved on. This post added absolutely nothing.

This and the next post could be a setup for being on the mac wagon that looks like it could be moving (at this point of the day, anyway) full speed ahead.



Backtracking ITT.


I think the above post is wolfy myself.

It's an explanation I guess.

But g0tgame is still alive and did not draw the nightkill, I have to wonder why he would still be alive...........


I think there's a chance that gg is possibly trying to set up a coordi lynch. Gg hasn't receive much pressure this game and has been overlooked, much like AoS. I think AoS is a good target, but I don't think gg is necessarily clear.

g0tgame, what do you have on me that makes you think I'm the last wolf, and how would I have been a wolf with tel?

FWIW AoS should be the lead wagon and attempting to clear himself.

it really is a process of elimination. I think, and I might be off, that Tel has spewed Mac and coordi villa at multiple occasions. some of Danny's posts let me think Mac is villa too.
Kwami looks good from every wolf post I've seen so far + good d1 vote + probably seer hunt cleared.
IFTN has been a whole lot more villagery the last two days, but would probably be my third and final lynch.

I still have to reread you today, but you really haven't done anything villagery, lack of wolf interaction, lack of wolves mentioning you and really bad looking d1 vote.


I just came across this post:
you don't want to hear it if he dies? it's kinda like you know he's flipping wolf.

cardsman, I really don't understand some of the wolfy things you want (yes want) to see in my posts you quoted.
me not getting nightkilled with correct peeks is literally the only thing looking bad and I could have avoided that easily as a wolf, right?

Re: being villagery, I actively searched for peeks yesterday, interacted with everyone that I could yesterday, when the thread was active. Just like you. As a matter of fact I don't see anything wolfy....

Regarding my post to Tel, it was a gauge of whether or not I wanted to vote him, based on whether or not I liked his thought process. I was giving him a chance to save himself as Mac was convincing me that Tel was the peek. I don't know he's flipping wolf here anymore than anyone else does.

I'll take "nothing villagery" back. just meant nothing specific that I could point to and say "that makes me think he's villa"

Okay, but the rest of the village finds me villagery, or at least farther up the chain than you do?

I don't think so. they, as well, just find others more villagery for multiple reasons.
to tell you the truth, I'm not a very good wolf hunter. I'm more of a "villager hunter". I like to operate with process of elimination. meaning I should probably never get randed village vig in one of the mish mashs.



AoS virtually not posting for almost two days is terrible. I will most likely vote him today if he doesn't show up.

AoS, please get in here and post.

You did absolutely nothing yesterday, and you haven't done anything yet that helps the village. Please help us find the last wolf.

wicked xpost gg.

G0tgame, as far as my d1 vote goes, coordi and IFTN also voted chris on d1 and they are still alive. What is more villa about those two, if I could ask?

I made some posts about coordi on the last page.
I basically think that Tel spewed coordi villa with his d2 vote.
wahoo and and me both left a d2 Tel=wolf peek, we both had a correct d1 peek. so the possibility of one of us being the seer is very high. if coordi gets lynched as a wolf:
-game is over if one of us is the seer
-game is pretty much over if we're not:
either

village recognizes that we left a fake peek Tel=wolf and lynches him, because of seer hunt

or

even if the village somehow doesn't recognize it, then the real seer is still alive at f9 with just one wolf remaining at 2-3 live peeks, which is a virtual lock


if wolves don't nightkill one of us then they ignore two players with two correct peeks each, including a wolf peek
so with that non-wahoo or me nightkill they either:
-hit the seer, who gives us 0-2 live peeks at f9 with one wolf

or

-don't hit the seer, meaning the real seer is still alive with upto 3 live peeks at f9 with one wolf


Tel just couldn't afford lynching wolf mate coordi.

IFTN is pretty much just tone, but I've noticed that both dead wolves hardly ever mention him. he could easily be the last wolf and I would recommend lynching him before the game is over.

and if he was bussing him then it would be with a better reason than:

he would need a lot of credit for the lynch, if he wants to survive a game where he's the lone wolf with 7 villas and a live seer

it could still be mac but i can wait till f3 to lynch his ass

ive been thinking its AoS for a while now but couldnt afford to make a case cause i was on the chopping block

AoS-g0tgame-mac wins this 100%

why are you so sure that IFTN and cards aren't wolves?