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01-26-2010 , 04:46 AM

#2176

Forsythio

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Quote:

Originally Posted by CPHoya

It's sort of fun to watch your confidence in this endeavor slowly erode, just like mine.

haha

We shall see how long said confidence lasts

Quote

01-26-2010 , 04:46 AM

#2177

CPHoya

Warden of Taipan Island

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 73,265

Quote:

Originally Posted by Forsythio

I'd like to say not very much

Then again, his other long game as seer, he left no peeks

THEN AGAIN, he was a complete noob that time - literally, first long game. He mainly didn't leave peeks simply because he didn't really know anything about WW, not as an FPSy play

I think we should probably go with Occam's Razor in regards to determining his peeks, and not try to account for FPSiness

Well like, he either peeked 3 wolves and FPS'd pretty hard by posting equivocations every time he called one of them a wolf, or he didn't peek 3 wolves, right?

Quote

01-26-2010 , 04:53 AM

#2178

Forsythio

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Quote:

Originally Posted by CPHoya

Well like, he either peeked 3 wolves and FPS'd pretty hard by posting equivocations every time he called one of them a wolf, or he didn't peek 3 wolves, right?

I guess. I only just finished d1; I'm fine with saying it was birdman villa

The other days remain to be seen

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01-26-2010 , 04:53 AM

#2179

XXsooted

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Forsythio

yeah, it's just that up to that point there's overwhelming evidence that he had peeked birdman n0, then he puts bsball first, which isn't even alphabetical. Maybe he thought he'd been obvious enough that that bsball's placement in that list didn't matter?

I think that is not unreasonable to assume

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01-26-2010 , 04:59 AM

#2180

CPHoya

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WW needs "phone-a-seer" imo.

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01-26-2010 , 05:00 AM

#2181

Forsythio

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Quote:

Originally Posted by XXsooted

I think that is not unreasonable to assume

I agree

Quote

01-26-2010 , 05:02 AM

#2182

Forsythio

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Thread Cat, imo

i just want to say that i think dmk is villa aorn

I was kinda disappointed with how little herbie contributed/interacted yesterday. He definitely needs to be looked at today

Nich also needs to contribute today or i will have no problem voting him

So, villas:
bsball
birdman
cdl
forsy
xxsooted
cphoya
nez
dmk

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thread Cat, imo

Oh yeah i also think globe is villa

d1; separates his peek from the rest of his reads?

Quote

01-26-2010 , 05:03 AM

#2183

Forsythio

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^^^^d2

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01-26-2010 , 05:09 AM

#2184

Forsythio

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I'd say n1 is not bsball. TC had made it pretty clear he already thought bsball was a villager before then - not super clear, but as clear as he made it with everyone else he was talking about - the only reason he clarified it in that post was because wahoo asked him to do so

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01-26-2010 , 05:10 AM

#2185

LuckayLuck

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Don't worry guys, I know how Thread Cat's brain works.

I'm on it, going to take a look at his posts from an independent perspective.

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01-26-2010 , 05:10 AM

#2186

Forsythio

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n1 could be xxsooted or globe, imo

hmm

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01-26-2010 , 05:10 AM

#2187

CPHoya

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So then globe? I kinda think he just didn't leave one if you think bsball isn't one.

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01-26-2010 , 05:10 AM

#2188

LuckayLuck

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Quote:

Originally Posted by LuckayLuck

Don't worry guys, I know how Thread Cat's brain works.

I'm on it, going to take a look at his posts from an independent perspective.

1#$%@^*%$^* 321 posts

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOooooooooooooooooo

Quote

01-26-2010 , 05:11 AM

#2189

Forsythio

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Quote:

Originally Posted by LuckayLuck

Don't worry guys, I know how Thread Cat's brain works.

I'm on it, going to take a look at his posts from an independent perspective.

good, because I'm super biased. I thought it'd be a good thing to know TC the best when trying to decipher his posts but it turns out it just leads me to hope that he pulled more and more epic seer stunts and I keep trying to find them.

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01-26-2010 , 05:13 AM

#2190

CPHoya

Warden of Taipan Island

Join Date: Jul 2006 Posts: 73,265

Quote:

Originally Posted by LuckayLuck

1#$%@^*%$^* 321 posts

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOooooooooooooooooo

lol.

Quote

01-26-2010 , 05:17 AM

#2191

Forsythio

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Thread Cat, imo

ok well in any case i don't want to lynch bsball

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thread Cat, imo

or globe

or cdl

or me

so herbie's looking pretty good

qf possible peeks of bsball and globe

Quote

01-26-2010 , 05:17 AM

#2192

LuckayLuck

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I read yesterday's posts.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thread Cat, imo

Well, he was one of my two least confident villager leans yesterday (I mentioned it at the end of my villager list post. The other one was cdl).

So basically POE

I get the distinct feeling that Thread Cat left no hints yesterday because he peeked CDL (same night he died).

I also get the feeling that he's peeked a lot of villagers but no wolves.

I'm basically reading backwards.

Quote

01-26-2010 , 05:17 AM

#2193

wahoopride

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i will not be rereading TC's posts.
i guess we won't turbo birdman though
makes me a little sad

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01-26-2010 , 05:20 AM

#2194

LuckayLuck

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Quote:

Originally Posted by LuckayLuck

I read yesterday's posts.

I get the distinct feeling that Thread Cat left no hints yesterday because he peeked CDL (same night he died).

I also get the feeling that he's peeked a lot of villagers but no wolves.

I'm basically reading backwards.

LuckayLuck, I'm pretty sure you're wrong.

Quote

01-26-2010 , 05:22 AM

#2195

Forsythio

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Thread Cat, imo

globe fwiw I don't think you need to focus on defending yourself because you already appear to be so clear

Theory; no one but a seer could say this about globe at that point in time?

finding wolves would probably be a better use of your time because I trust your reads because I know you are a villager

the red is what is implied by a possible peek; the bold = comments by me

Quote

01-26-2010 , 05:24 AM

#2196

Forsythio

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Thread Cat, imo

globe you're not thinking about this right

the main goal of the game as a villager is to find all the wolves. Preventing yourself from getting lynched is secondary, and usually results from excelling in the finding wolves area

BOOM

he knows globe is a villager

Quote

01-26-2010 , 05:25 AM

#2197

LuckayLuck

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Quote:

Originally Posted by BrownEyedGirl

herbie / sub is pretty clear as well as he was the first person to vote AoS and his tone was villagery.

Quote:

Originally Posted by BrownEyedGirl

re reading right now but I see in my notes from the first 300 pages, I found this:

nez = villager imo

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thread Cat, imo

BEG stop clearing all the wolves

but i do appreciate your analysis

Okay, I've switched my theory from Thread Cat peeking a lot of villagers to Thread Cat peeking a lot of wolves

"Stop clearing all the wolves" is a pretty damning statement towards Herbie. And I'm not sure when Thread Cat started attacking Nez but for some reason he is and I guess we should go with him

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01-26-2010 , 05:27 AM

#2198

Forsythio

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Yes, I was just about to say that thread cat started on herbie on d2 for no reason and kept it up d3 and d4. I wouldn't be surprised if he had peeked herbie

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01-26-2010 , 05:29 AM

#2199

LuckayLuck

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Thread Cat, imo

ok well in any case i don't want to lynch bsball

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thread Cat, imo

or globe

or cdl

or me

so herbie's looking pretty good

My first theory was correct. Thread Cat's seer peeks are:

BSBall, Globe, CDL: Villagers

Nich: Wolf

The main problem is solely that I don't know who Thread Cat peeked two nights ago.

Quote

01-26-2010 , 05:30 AM

#2200

Forsythio

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Thread Cat, imo

bsball--you have been acting pretty wolfy today imo

just sayin

I think TC takes issue with too many of bsball's posts to ever have peeked him

I remember once before bsball said something and tc said "really? that's the post out of the last 30 you chose to comment on? I even specifically addressed one to you"

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