I surprised myself tonight because I had the discipline to get up from a game after only 5 hours of play to get something to eat (regular intervals are important) and go back to my room to give myself a shot.
I don't know what it is about my personality, but most of the problems I've had in life (health, money, relationships) have resulted from not acknowledging problems head on and learning to ignore them. It might just be laziness. But I also feel like it's because I have so many little interests that I am easily distracted by things that are cooler than, say, paying my credit card bills on time, having the long talk with the fiancee or just doing the laundry.
At this point, I feel like I like my life...or at least, I like the potential I see in my life and I want to have it all and take care of business.
I still think it's a call. 2 Js and 2 4s give you the effective nuts, 3 Qs and 3 As are also good cards; 3 Ts and 3 Ks give you an inside Broadway draw and 8 spades are still out there.
This is a really safe board for KKxx or AAxx, and Azn lady has shown she can be aggressive with less than the stone-cold nuts.
Unless it's a horrendous card like a 3 or 2, we're going to the river.
Isn't the azns range pretty strong here?I kind of thought calling is the worst option here. I was leaning towards reraising but it seemed like a barely ahead/really dead sort of a spot. I think I could reasonably discount AAhh from azns range, otherwise I think I push it in. Where in my nitty thought process is too nitty?
It's clear I have this leak of being a few levels too nitty and always assuming the worst as the likely. I need to fix this;/ cause it sounds like I've thrown away profitable opps
If you think she's gonna reshove A5hhxx or something then flatting is best. She's getting it in with a pretty wide range vs. shorty, and it's really hard for you to have hit this flop very hard.
i ran a super sick multi way pot bluff with 72o, then got running 7s and bet the river for value lol!
in another hand we were deep and i 5bet the turn lol! board had no draws and no pairs. some guys at the table were saying "obviously he has the nuts" and another guy was saying that was insulting to me to say that i can only have the nuts there. if i'm 5betting a super dry board on the turn deep stacked, i'm probably not bluffing.
I surprised myself tonight because I had the discipline to get up from a game after only 5 hours of play to get something to eat (regular intervals are important) and go back to my room to give myself a shot.
I don't know what it is about my personality, but most of the problems I've had in life (health, money, relationships) have resulted from not acknowledging problems head on and learning to ignore them. It might just be laziness. But I also feel like it's because I have so many little interests that I am easily distracted by things that are cooler than, say, paying my credit card bills on time, having the long talk with the fiancee or just doing the laundry.
At this point, I feel like I like my life...or at least, I like the potential I see in my life and I want to have it all and take care of business.
Ok would really appreciate inputs on my line of thinking
1/2/5 plo villain is a stuck up Asian lady who likes to berate people on their plays but looks competent
1000 deep
Utg limp
Utg+1 limp
I limp with AcTc9c6d
Azn lady raises 25
3 of us call
Flop (103)
Kc9c4d
2 check
I lead 90
Azn calls
Turn (283)
5c
I check
She leads 230
Spoiler:
I have a reasonably strong read that she doesn't have a set. And she would not bet with a naked two pair. I want her to spew out her stack with a kqjt or lower flush type hard and I am not worried about a pairing river.
I think I lose her easily if I c/r on turn
Plan on c/ring a brick . on a board pairing river check and probably call
I call
River blank
I check
I probably muck this pre and don't even limp.
With pf action, I'd probably check / call the flop and lead the turn.
With the flop action, I'd probably lead half pot on the turn and shove if she raised.
As played I don't know what I would do. I would probably click it back and shove the river? I'm not sure where your read is coming from, but I guess you think she either has 2p and a flush or is bluffing? If that's the case, if she has 2p/flush good chance she checks behind a blank river, no? Best case is she has the Q high flush. If a scare card comes, yuk. If she's bluffing, what the hell is she bluffing with, you have the Ac. If she's competent, it seems really dubious that she would be bluffing without the nut flush card here. If you somehow know for a fact she doesn't have a set or a naked 2p, I don't know. It just seems really optimistic to think she is going to fire 2 barrels on air (and how does she even get to the turn with air) or go for 2 streets of value with the non nut flush AND pay you off when you jam over her probably small bet on the river (small because from her perspective she is looking for a worse hand to call). And if the board pairs on the river LOL you, because she's going to assume you just boated up and bail, unless she just boated up.
I still think it's a call. 2 Js and 2 4s give you the effective nuts, 3 Qs and 3 As are also good cards; 3 Ts and 3 Ks give you an inside Broadway draw and 8 spades are still out there.
This is a really safe board for KKxx or AAxx, and Azn lady has shown she can be aggressive with less than the stone-cold nuts.
Unless it's a horrendous card like a 3 or 2, we're going to the river.
I think there is a really strong chance the SS shoves behind him (if I am reading the action correctly he's last to act?) and azn re pots or calls. I don't I'm very happy in that case.
Isn't the azns range pretty strong here?I kind of thought calling is the worst option here. I was leaning towards reraising but it seemed like a barely ahead/really dead sort of a spot. I think I could reasonably discount AAhh from azns range, otherwise I think I push it in. Where in my nitty thought process is too nitty?
I'm with you here. I think if the azn is decent like you said, she knows the short stack will be looking to get it in a lot. I don't know that she has AA (she could have raised smallish pre flop with that, hoping to get re popped by the short stack and pot committed pre), but she's got to expect shorty to be potting a lot of the time.
So like KK with the heart draw is about 50/50 against your hand there hurp. If she has 33 you are in real trouble. Even the naked nfd is almost a flip against you, and all this is without figuring in a hand for the short stack. (I can't find the good omaha simulator so I am having to plug in specific hands )