and not just based on the one post I quoted. some of his other posts seem right off to me

Drontier is giving me minor heebie-geebies too

forsythio

kukra


ptv/oti/derwi ??

you realize there are only 3 wolves left among 17 people, right

sounds like a good idea

What was there to read? You had posted almost nothing up to that point, and the posts you had made were not exactly the epitome of villagery posts

That's why you were a good wagon.

unfortunately if drontier was a wolf. ure going to need to concede this game. cuz he is such a ****** great villager. and this game and next will make you see why.

his day 1 was insane. From my experience of Andy as a wolf, he's very methodical and really "tries". Based on how he's started off this game, I would villa lean on him

telcontar is probably a villager because of his latter posts fwiw

well, yes, but the wagons are 4-3.

in b4 I was lurking


I now have 4 more minutes before going back to rehearsa;l

Right now.

I like Thingyman - pro-villa
I like bsball - pretty good change from mcavoy
I like globe he has put in some effort - villa lean
I like telcontar

i think you are overestimating the amount to which people believe you are ok to blindly follow

I think OTI is on the ok side of neutral

People followed me yesterday.

I am the most clear villager - this is the consensus.

And a case has been stated on Nich.

I don't think wolves would think that it would look bad to "blindly follow" me.

OTI is probably a villager

forsy might be a wolf

so YP is not a serious wagon I guess

how unfortunate

go forsy

i disagree, but w/e

I want to hear some thoughts on LL's case on pointer.

I think LL might push that hard to get villa pointer mislynched, but I think it's less likely b/c I think he'd be worried about looking bad b/c of it, especially after he was so wrong about pointer in the 12/28 game.

I think that LL would likely push that hard to get wolf pointer lynched. He wouldn't expect pointer to survive to mislynch and would want the villa points he'd get for being the first on pointer.

If I had to put numbers on it, I think if pointer is villa LL pushes him 1 to 2, or 33% of the time.

If pointer is a wolf I think it's more likely he pushed him - maybe 3 to 1, or 75% of the time.

Factor in the likelihood of each role:
Pointer villa: .75*.33=25%
Pointer wolf: .25*.75=19%

So I guess my conclusion is that the LL stuff doesn't really spew pointer either way...

Votes as of post 1478.
night in 0:07

#	Player	votes for
5	Andynan	Nicholasp27
0	bsball8806	Andynan
0	derwipok	Andynan
0	DiggertheDog	unvote
0	Drontier	Forsythio
2	Forsythio	Youngplayer9
2	globetrotter
0	jd_poker	globetrotter
0	Kukraprout	Andynan
0	monikrazy	Nicholasp27
3	Nicholasp27	globetrotter
0	OnThInIcE911	Youngplayer9
0	PointerToVoid
0	Telcontar	Forsythio
0	Thingyman	Nicholasp27
0	TimeLady	Andynan
2	Youngplayer9	Andynan

Leaders as of post 1478:
5 - Andynan
3 - Nicholasp27
2 - Forsythio
2 - globetrotter
2 - Youngplayer9

okay, we'll at least don't ****ing CFD me

I put in a lot of time and analysis today, which everyone at the time thought was good and villagery. listening to drontier and telcontar would not be the best play here ducy?


I am good at clearing myself. I am planning on doing more analysis tomorrow

CFDing me here would a terrible, terrible play for the village

if forsy is a wolf i'm clearing YP9 (omg really? you always think he's a wolf!)

The wagons were 6-5 yesterday and a wolf was lynched, wolves probably fail here

Lynching Forsy today is NOT gonna happen. Seriously, knock it out.

State a case on him tomorrow / tonight if you must, but right now he is a terrible person to CFD without having done a thorough reread of him.

Stick to the current wagons.