ill fill u guys in on my day 1 reads:

I focused on ppl w/ few posts, and not on the guys who had 12+ posts on day 1.

Twitch1977: Comes out premo. Regrets it: changes vote. Seemes like a nice guy, but might be a pawn of experienced wolves (as a decoy, or as an excuse to balance wolf votes). I'm leanning villager, though I find it weird that any1 would actually vote for him (besides a wolf). So I looked at the ppl who voted for him:

instantly: also a noob it seemes. Randomly votes for twitch, even though there is little momentum IMO. (#167) Possible wolf vote.

Larissa: votes twitch for no reason, as said by Luckay (#259) looks noob wolf.

CalledDownLight: post #180 looked like he is experienced (take my perception fwiw ) yet he refrained from any controversy throughout the day 1. Leanning wolf.

John Voight: not a wolf

Mainly I tried to look at guys that werent really discussed that much itt.

Also, I think wolves will likely be first to push votes, as well as be bandwaggon guys, b/c it balances their range that way IMO.

/// TO MOD: KK should have 2 votes as of now, larissa also voted KK.


really going out to get food now, when I get back I have another post about why we shouldn't lynch LL

Right now, I don't see much difference between what I want and what the village wants. I've already laid out my thinking: I (and I suspect many others) have thinking all based around LL being a wolf. The longer that question goes unanswered, the more that A) he gets to lead the wolves (if he is in fact a wolf), many of whom are new at being wolves, and B) those of us basing our lists on LL being the lead stay in a "holding pattern". To me, knowing this key question about LL will put many on the right track, even if LL turns out to be a villager. At least it frees up all the energy I and others are putting into "the LL is leader theory".

which shows LL is obviously not reading my posts and just making wild accusations about me being a wolf which is silly. I dont even feel i should need to say anything in my defense but if he was a villager he would have at least thought about what i have said and not just started accusing me of being a wolf.

those arent wild accusations though they are coming from someone who is playing with complete information.

LYNCH LUCKAYLUCK

Once we lynch any of the three people I've suggested (but primarily BRIAN or JOPKE), I believe you'll be able to trust me.

Can you elaborate on how I have complete information?

I don't think I've ever seen something good come from "whoa, that wagon moved to fast". I wish villagers would stop saying it so wolves would have to stop saying it.

you are SURE of things

Complete information implies that I'm right, doesn't it?

So if we lynch brian tonight and he comes back villager then you're essentially naming yourself a wolf and you should be next to go? How certain of this read are you? If you're willing to make this claim I'd be much more willing to lynch brian since I think determining where LL lies is the key to this game.

However failing that I'd need more than brian's one liners as reason to lynch him.

T

masons

Corrected and updated:

[ 0 ] AndrewGreve
[ 1 ] bernieshaw voted for LuckayLuck
[ 1 ] brian0721 voted for ZeTurd
[ 0 ] CalledDownLight voted for Quadstriker
[ 0 ] DoubleD
[ 0 ] ElliotR voted for LarissaRose
[ 0 ] getterdone36
[ 1 ] housenuts voted for Tom1975
[ 0 ] instantly
[ 0 ] JDalla voted for kkcountry
[ 0 ] Joe Butch voted for ZeTurd
[ 0 ] john voight
[ 0 ] JopkeAccount voted for LuckayLuck
[ 2 ] kkcountry voted for brian0721
[ 1 ] LarissaRose voted for kkcountry
[ 0 ] lucid75
[ 4 ] LuckayLuck
[ 0 ] manupod
[ 0 ] mused01
[ 0 ] Newport Smoov voted for housenuts
[ 0 ] norseman1066
[ 1 ] Quadstriker
[ 0 ] Source158 voted for LuckayLuck
[ 0 ] subandi voted for bernieshaw
[ 0 ] Sun Tzu
[ 0 ] tarheeljks
[ 1 ] Tom1975 voted for LuckayLuck
[ 0 ] Twitch1977
[ 2 ] ZeTurd

Brian's first one liner was wolfy; however, the thing that convinces me of Brian's guilt is my attack on Jopke (which you can see prominently in the thread). Jopke has been backed against the wall completely in full defense and BELIEVES that I will attack Jopke and Brian until the end of the game. This is a wolf mentality. In a moment of extreme fear, he chose to FIGHT in the primal human response of FIGHT vs FLIGHT.


How sure am I?

95%. That's pretty high. On BOTH Jopke and Brian.
85% on Source, which is also very high.

[vote Brian] have been but the vote tally lost my vote

Bernie is really weird. Some of his posts gave me doubts (since my previous read of him as villager), but I'm sticking with villager.

Nice post, bernie.

Based on this I would not be opposed to lynching brian with an auto-lynch vote the following day going to LL if brian comes by viallager. brian's input seems slim anyhow.

T

yes

no

yeah you are RIGHT

wtf is this ****?

I've had my vote on Brian since post 563.

you guys are making a big mistake and its gonna come back to kill the village if we go luckay today.

Regarding this; I'm more then willing to answer whatever I gotta answer to clear this up. Not just because it's me, but with all the later-day posting going on I honestly feel that, even if I get lynched, my interactions with the village so far won't reveal much.

On a lighter note, finally home from work! No more having to comb through posts on my Blackberry and dealing with idiot customers wanting to know where Sears is. Gonna reread everything then post my thoughts (and, apparently, try to seem less wolfy with my posts. Incidentally, what is it about my posts that make me sound wolfy, so I can stop.)

Seers often act wolfy because they are nervous and have something to hide. Seers get lynched day 1 more often than rand().

wat?

sun, when you gonna get back to me on the point from earlier?

also, i'd suggest the people who haven't played before listen to those who have until you get the hang of it. So far the people who have come up with evidence to support a case are: me, luckay, and sun has done so quietly.