March 29th Vanilla+ 13er WW Game Thread - Page 58

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March 29th Vanilla+ 13er WW Game Thread

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03-31-2023 , 07:49 PM

#1426

JMurder3

not god, probably jebus

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 53,649

Quote:

Originally Posted by Creature

Alright if Luckay is town that makes the Deli/filthy world quite plausible again. I am fairly sure Deli if a wolf must've included one partner within their town list (JM3/Robik/Stuck/VR).

Wouldn't you be the only other option who isn't on the villa list in that world?

Quote

03-31-2023 , 07:50 PM

#1427

LuckayLuck

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 36,907

Quote:

Originally Posted by LuckayLuck

I was going to snipe TBobLP but I got busy so won't be around for the last 10 minutes.

My intention for what it's worth was to vote TBobLP at a "critical" enough time to not be a useless vote for pushing TBob over but also yet to not realistically have another person get voted out. In other words I wanted to make sure that it was well known throughout that I was always basically on TBob

This vote ended up not registering under the final vote count but I was on Tbob though for reference

Quote

03-31-2023 , 07:52 PM

#1428

LuckayLuck

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 36,907

Quote:

Originally Posted by IAmRobik

it just read to me as though your pressure was insincere. like what pressure did you put on chuckles by putting 1 vote on him from 0? i don't know the exact vote count when you voted creature, but it seemed at that point it was something like 5-1 in favor of tbob. like you voted but you didn't pressure and you didn't try to get anyone else to join you.

It was real pressure, this is what it looked like

Quote:

Originally Posted by StuckinARutt

Summon chuckles

Quote:

Originally Posted by Deli_

--------------------------------------------

..chuck bc i couldnt remember what he's done today, tbob to look over and quick link his posts for thread review

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMurder3

Anyone want to launch a CW?

Quote:

Originally Posted by StuckinARutt

Chuckles counterwagon yes plz

Quote:

Originally Posted by LuckayLuck

Chuckles but I want to stress that I'm voting for TBobLP

Quote:

Originally Posted by birdmod

Votes from post 1 to post 1011
Night in 0:39:59
---

Votes	Lynch	Voters
3	TBobLP	JMurder3 (158), IAmRobik (125), VoraciousReader (101)
2	IAmRobik	iraisetoomuch (50), chuckleslovakian (9)
2	chuckleslovakian	StuckinARutt (70), LuckayLuck (19)
2	filthyvermin	Creature (52), karmarein (54)
2	Creature	filthyvermin (17), Doctor Zeus (30)
1	karmarein	Deli_ (99)
1	not voting	TBobLP (24)

Quote

03-31-2023 , 07:53 PM

#1429

JMurder3

not god, probably jebus

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 53,649

Quote:

Originally Posted by Deli_

I'm going to do a little game theory and say everyone who is maintaining a thread presence is a villager.

deli
jm3
robik
vr
stuck

drz
irtm

that leaves wolves in: luckay/filthy/chuck/creature

I'm glad Creature is fairly certain he's a villager...

Quote

03-31-2023 , 07:55 PM

#1430

JMurder3

not god, probably jebus

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 53,649

Quote:

Originally Posted by Creature

Alright if Luckay is town that makes the Deli/filthy world quite plausible again. I am fairly sure Deli if a wolf must've included one partner within their town list (JM3/Robik/Stuck/VR).

This feels like an actual slip but meh.

Quote

03-31-2023 , 07:55 PM

#1431

Creature

veteran

Join Date: May 2020 Posts: 2,341

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMurder3

Wouldn't you be the only other option who isn't on the villa list in that world?

Exactly.

Quote

03-31-2023 , 07:55 PM

#1432

IAmRobik

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 12,198

@luckay

Quote:

Originally Posted by birdmod

Votes from post 1 to post 1011
Night in 0:39:59
---

Votes	Lynch	Voters
3	TBobLP	JMurder3 (158), IAmRobik (125), VoraciousReader (101)
2	IAmRobik	iraisetoomuch (50), chuckleslovakian (9)
2	chuckleslovakian	StuckinARutt (70), LuckayLuck (19)
2	filthyvermin	Creature (52), karmarein (54)
2	Creature	filthyvermin (17), Doctor Zeus (30)
1	karmarein	Deli_ (99)
1	not voting	TBobLP (24)

Quote

03-31-2023 , 07:56 PM

#1433

Creature

veteran

Join Date: May 2020 Posts: 2,341

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMurder3

This feels like an actual slip but meh.

Townslip yes although I knew I was most likely only excluding myself.

Quote

03-31-2023 , 07:58 PM

#1434

IAmRobik

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 12,198

final vote count

Quote:

Originally Posted by birdmod

Votes from post 1 to post 1092
It is night
---

Votes	Lynch	Voters
6	TBobLP	JMurder3 (162), IAmRobik (131), VoraciousReader (103), Creature (62), StuckinARutt (76)
LuckayLuck (19)
2	Creature	filthyvermin (17), Doctor Zeus (30)
2	filthyvermin	karmarein (54), chuckleslovakian (16)
1	IAmRobik	iraisetoomuch (50)
1	karmarein	Deli_ (99)
1	not voting	TBobLP (24)

Quote

03-31-2023 , 08:00 PM

#1435

JMurder3

not god, probably jebus

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 53,649

Quote:

Originally Posted by Creature

Townslip yes although I knew I was most likely only excluding myself.

Villagers know they are villagers. They aren't "fairly sure" they are villagers.

I'm going to drop it, though. Hanging out with my kids for a while. Glgl.

Quote

03-31-2023 , 08:04 PM

#1436

IAmRobik

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 12,198

ok so at least 1 wolf was on tbob. good to know. i almost convinced myself that it was 0/3 but maybe that's cause i was looking at the votecount when luckay was on chuck

Quote

03-31-2023 , 08:08 PM

#1437

LuckayLuck

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 36,907

Quote:

Originally Posted by IAmRobik

ok so at least 1 wolf was on tbob. good to know. i almost convinced myself that it was 0/3 but maybe that's cause i was looking at the votecount when luckay was on chuck

It's an interesting Sudoku-esque approach but yes at least one wolf was on tbob, agreed

Quote

03-31-2023 , 08:22 PM

#1438

Creature

veteran

Join Date: May 2020 Posts: 2,341

Quote:

Originally Posted by JMurder3

Villagers know they are villagers. They aren't "fairly sure" they are villagers.

I'm going to drop it, though. Hanging out with my kids for a while. Glgl.

The fairly sure comes more from an outside PoV. Like, if you took a look at that list you should be fairly sure a wolf would include one partner among their town, regardless of who is outside it.

Quote

03-31-2023 , 08:23 PM

#1439

Creature

veteran

Join Date: May 2020 Posts: 2,341

Quote:

Originally Posted by IAmRobik

ok so at least 1 wolf was on tbob. good to know. i almost convinced myself that it was 0/3 but maybe that's cause i was looking at the votecount when luckay was on chuck

If there is one wolf on TBob it is most likely VoraciousReader > StuckInARutt > you > JMurder3.

Quote

03-31-2023 , 08:24 PM

#1440

Creature

veteran

Join Date: May 2020 Posts: 2,341

In fact, in order for TBob wagon to have 0 wolves the wolfteam must be exactly Deli_/filthyvermin/LuckayLuck unless we're misclearing someone.

Quote

03-31-2023 , 08:28 PM

#1441

LuckayLuck

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 36,907

Creature,

How carefully do you tend to read posts?

Quote

03-31-2023 , 08:40 PM

#1442

Creature

veteran

Join Date: May 2020 Posts: 2,341

Quote:

Originally Posted by LuckayLuck

Creature,

How carefully do you tend to read posts?

I tend to skim posts and then I post whatever comes into my mind.

Quote

03-31-2023 , 08:46 PM

#1443

IAmRobik

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 12,198

If Luckay is villa, we lost

so uhhh

we should just take deli as clear and play the rest of the game from that perspective.

Quote

03-31-2023 , 08:52 PM

#1444

VoraciousReader

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 34,356

Quote:

Originally Posted by IAmRobik

If Luckay is villa, we lost

so uhhh

we should just take deli as clear and play the rest of the game from that perspective.

Yeah, that bullshit argument was made last game too about Dustin. It was ridiculous then, and ridiculous now.

Fatalism in werewolf kills villages.

Quote

03-31-2023 , 08:53 PM

#1445

IAmRobik

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2013 Posts: 12,198

TIL math is fatalism

Quote

03-31-2023 , 08:55 PM

#1446

VoraciousReader

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 34,356

Quote:

Originally Posted by IAmRobik

TIL math is fatalism

Show your work:

We started 10/3. This morning we were 8/3. The MOST the wolfpack can kill tonight is 2. If Lucky flips villa, yeah, that's going to suck a lot. But we'll be 5/3.

That's math.

Quote

03-31-2023 , 09:04 PM

#1447

VoraciousReader

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2005 Posts: 34,356

I should say 4/3--IF we miskill today. If not, we're at 4/2 tomorrow.

Quote

03-31-2023 , 09:12 PM

#1448

Creature

veteran

Join Date: May 2020 Posts: 2,341

Quote:

Originally Posted by IAmRobik

If Luckay is villa, we lost

so uhhh

we should just take deli as clear and play the rest of the game from that perspective.

Why?

Quote

03-31-2023 , 09:12 PM

#1449

JMurder3

not god, probably jebus

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 53,649

Quote:

Originally Posted by VoraciousReader

I should say 4/3--IF we miskill today. If not, we're at 4/2 tomorrow.

I think that'd be 5-2? Don't think it really matters, though. Find wolves, kill wolves.

Quote

03-31-2023 , 09:14 PM

#1450

Creature

veteran

Join Date: May 2020 Posts: 2,341

I don't get the math.

It's 8v3 now. If we mislynch and Lucky is town, tomorrow it will be 5v3. If wolves use their vig it will be 4v3. But we're definitely not at the risk of losing today in a town!Lucky world.

Quote

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