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LLSNL Werewolf Game Thread LLSNL Werewolf Game Thread

08-29-2016 , 01:31 PM
Also, we should prolly peek scrybe pretty early on.
I've a feeling he's going to be tough to crack if he's a wolf and we'd want that info early to help us judge.
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08-29-2016 , 01:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by iraisetoomuch
If nothing else, lynching the people who aren't posting much has about the same likelyhood of being success (wolf) vs failure (villa) but the game is far more interesting on later days.

Like last game after donny got lynched the game was just lol boring to rail/be in.


+1. We had so little information to go on late in that game. I was practically guessing who to peak. It took sabr stepping up late and slim transferring in to give us a chance
LLSNL Werewolf Game Thread Quote
08-29-2016 , 01:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by iraisetoomuch
If nothing else, lynching the people who aren't posting much has about the same likelyhood of being success (wolf) vs failure (villa) but the game is far more interesting on later days.

Like last game after donny got lynched the game was just lol boring to rail/be in.


because no.

It's like you're sitting in an empty classroom or something.
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08-29-2016 , 01:33 PM
Mod Helpful Tip

Unvoting and No Lynch are both registered commands for the vote counter. For the latter, if No Lynch is the Maj at night, no player is lynched

Carry on
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08-29-2016 , 01:33 PM
if you're going with the lynch people not posting strategy at least go for people who were posting a decent amount early in the last game.

Don, or bip! not posting today is far more suspicious than Miami.
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08-29-2016 , 01:34 PM
Oh wow. That's a new twist that I was completely unaware of.

no lynch
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08-29-2016 , 01:34 PM
BGP is either a good villa or good wolf. Can't decide, so second peek imo.
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08-29-2016 , 01:34 PM
If we lynch the low posters, seer peaks the medium posters, that leaves the biggest posters to sort through but they give us the most data

Bare in mind, content matters, so just because someone has 50 posts in a day, if they're of nothing, then I would take that into account
LLSNL Werewolf Game Thread Quote
08-29-2016 , 01:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TexasDonkem
Hi snow. Why are you refraining from d1 participation if you don't mind me asking?
Cuz there's no real info to be gained and better not risk saying anything that could be misconstrued as wolf later on
Quote:
Originally Posted by suited fours
hopefully I'm better at this than my noob-pro list...

wolf

sb2
miami
11t
bgp
tex
turtle
ir2m
bip
johnny
zoltan
cam
slim
scrybe
4s

villa
Still not wolf
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08-29-2016 , 01:35 PM
I'm villa
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08-29-2016 , 01:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zoltan


because no.

It's like you're sitting in an empty classroom or something.
Lol

How do you have zero votes and i have 4
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08-29-2016 , 01:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by zoltan

because no.

It's like you're sitting in an empty classroom or something.
So people posting more are more likely to be wolves?
Or people posting less are more likely to be seer?
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08-29-2016 , 01:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bluegrassplayer
if you're going with the lynch people not posting strategy at least go for people who were posting a decent amount early in the last game.

Don, or bip! not posting today is far more suspicious than Miami.


I would agree. We have a few reads from last game we can apply to this game
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08-29-2016 , 01:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by iraisetoomuch
If nothing else, lynching the people who aren't posting much has about the same likelyhood of being success (wolf) vs failure (villa) but the game is far more interesting on later days.

Like last game after donny got lynched the game was just lol boring to rail/be in.
watching the deadfish work his magic on the following day was a thing of beauty imo, but after that I agree, had to stop myself from posting multiple times, as I had to avoid FPS and just let the sleeping village lie

in general, while lynching low participation makes some sense, wolf is so much fun tho, so playing that role and not participating kinda blows my mind.
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08-29-2016 , 01:38 PM
What went through your head when you saw you were a wolf twice in a row?
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08-29-2016 , 01:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by iraisetoomuch
Oh wow. That's a new twist that I was completely unaware of.

no lynch
yeah, just let the wolves do the killing, what could go wrong?
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08-29-2016 , 01:42 PM
You think it's better to randomly vote for someone who I have no real evidence is a wolf?
How'd that work out for the village last time?
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08-29-2016 , 01:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by suited fours
watching the deadfish work his magic on the following day was a thing of beauty imo, but after that I agree, had to stop myself from posting multiple times, as I had to avoid FPS and just let the sleeping village lie
Meh, I pegged dead as a wolf on like day 2.
Just no one believed me lol.
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08-29-2016 , 01:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Bluegrassplayer
Actually I put you on the list more for voting me than anything else. That seems pretty bad in a vacuum, but your reasoning was pretty much that I was helping the village in a way that you disagreed with. That's fishy. WIM and attempting to solve the game are usually trademarks of a villager, and not a wolf.

Currently I think that cammando and suited 4s are strongest candidates for wolves.

Zoltan and johnny seem pretty balanced and not giving much.

Most everyone else hasn't provided a whole lot, which is similar to last game. They'll soon complain that the game is so stupid early on because there's nothing to go off of.
The start is RVS (random voting stage) where we know nothing and vote to pressure people and get info and reactions. I voted you because what you were suggesting seemed most sus to me at the time. Its a little better than actually placing a random vote + I'd likely get wtf is the new guy voting that person before I don't even have any forum presence or in jokes or anything... It allowed me to generate content even if only so I can understand how play may differ around here whilst I can offer my own opinions. I was happy to leave me vote on you until others chimed in and I could see how they reacted.

Snowy however needs to talk some more as currently they have been voted and has answered by saying they don't want to talk d1. That's Wolfy as hell.
LLSNL Werewolf Game Thread Quote
08-29-2016 , 01:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by iraisetoomuch
If nothing else, lynching the people who aren't posting much has about the same likelyhood of being success (wolf) vs failure (villa) but the game is far more interesting on later days.

Like last game after donny got lynched the game was just lol boring to rail/be in.
Definitely less fun to rail ;-)
LLSNL Werewolf Game Thread Quote
08-29-2016 , 01:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by iraisetoomuch
If nothing else, lynching the people who aren't posting much has about the same likelyhood of being success (wolf) vs failure (villa) but the game is far more interesting on later days.

Like last game after donny got lynched the game was just lol boring to rail/be in.
Yeah the biggest thing is day 1 we can't know who is and who isn't a wolf. Therefore our only real information is initial low posting count. The person who is the seer, especially if they get to peek before the day starts, is not going to be a low poster. Therfore by lynching a low poster we have a higher chance of getting a wolf.
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08-29-2016 , 01:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnny_on_the_spot
I would agree. We have a few reads from last game we can apply to this game
This was something I was weighing heavily. I was such a trainwreck villager last time, how do I attempt to be a better villa without the change in behavior looking like a wolf?

I decided I didn't care, I'd rather work on not getting tilted and if I get lynched bc of it, so be it.
LLSNL Werewolf Game Thread Quote
08-29-2016 , 01:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by iraisetoomuch
Meh, I pegged dead as a wolf on like day 2.
Just no one believed me lol.
That was the funniest thing, I'm like, I'll sub, cause DF is totally a wolf, then I was like, oh oh.
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08-29-2016 , 01:53 PM
So don, 11t any reads on the players who have been posting?
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08-29-2016 , 02:00 PM
There are a few pattern mismatches ie. lots 'o poastin the first game and then not so much this game.

Zoltan was all about posting the first game, but has been pretty mia this game

11t was active, not a ton this game - but is also an advocate for lynching non-active people so that seems counter-intuitive.

Still looking for pattern confirmations.
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