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08-25-2011 , 04:51 AM
Alright I tried to catch up. I ended up just skimming the last couple hundred posts but I'll try to lay out my thoughts here as they come to me.
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08-25-2011 , 04:57 AM
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Originally Posted by treefiddy

CLIFFS/Conclusion:

duck/supine never w/w
jim/dean never w/w
herbie/chim likely w/w
herbie flipping wolf soft clears dean/mets/anarchist and somewhat clears supine
sun just about 100% SHC after CDL revelation


SunTzu
MrGatito
jonnyd
mets
anarchist


dean
duckburg
jim


donk
chim


Herbie
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Originally Posted by treefiddy
Master List v3.1

treefiddy
bojtun
mets
mrgatito
sun
jonnyd
anarchist


rebonk
bsball/elliot
globe
dean
supine


jim
duck
donk


chim
herbie
I haven't played much with tree.
But I believe this to be much different than his most recent wolf game.
Dean, what do you say? You played with him in it.
I know it was post restriction, but anyways.
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08-25-2011 , 05:00 AM
The wagons yesterday are interesting. Mainly I'm having trouble seeing why the wolves didn't try to save Zay by piling on Rebonk. Dean & Mets are pretty much always gonna be villas here I think. I'm a peeked villa. Chim could be a wolf but I think I lean villa on him for now. The other Rebonk voter was Zay.

So I'm trying to figure out where the other 3 wolves were.

Its possible that the wolves realized Zay was a peeked wolf & gonna die anyway & thus hoped to clear a couple ppl by bussing. That could be the case for someone like Jim. Re-reading I kinda felt like Zay had given up. She said she had a lot of time to post that day but didnt end up posting anything. So maybe she recognized she was peeked & didnt want to spew? Just a thought.

I really don't like that Donk waited to the last second to cast his vote on Zay. It looked like he was kinda waiting to see how things were gonna play out. I don't recall him saying earlier who he was leaning on voting so it kind of felt like he could have gone either way & once it was clear Zay was going to be lynched he piled on. Also he was like the 8th voter on Zay I believe & his vote wasn't that crucial so Jim's analysis was wrong about the vote count.
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08-25-2011 , 05:03 AM
I could make a conspiracy theory for why Rebonk is a wolf but I thought his yesterday eod was fairly villagery. This combined with the Zay spew & he's likely a villa but its kind of annoying he isn't participating.
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08-25-2011 , 05:04 AM
Hi Duck.
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08-25-2011 , 05:06 AM
My thoughts are kinda random right now. Herbie said something about how the wolves may have thought Zay was a peeked wolf on d1. I doubt thats the case because I was trying to push the CDL wagon. So if wolves thought he was the seer there would have been a couple wolves trying to help me with that I think.
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08-25-2011 , 05:08 AM
I'm kinda wary of Elliot making those posts that assume he doesn't know Zay's role because I know he is capable of leveling with stuff like that. So it actually makes me more suspicious of him.
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08-25-2011 , 05:10 AM
I think Jonny's vote on UAW over Zay looks good for him. Though its not clearing or anything since you can't always expect the wolfteam to play optimally.
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08-25-2011 , 05:14 AM
Back to Rebonk. One thing I thought that was weird was that he said a couple times on day 2 that he thought Mets was a wolf. Yet he was also really confident Zay was a wolf. It doesn't make a ton of sense because Mets had been pushing Zay since day 1 & Mets never busses like that. And he should have known because he claimed to be sponging Mets vote of Zay day 1. So that doesn't really add up. So I'm not totally convinced Rebonk is a villa or anything.
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08-25-2011 , 05:22 AM
Jim seems to be posting less than usual. It doesn't seem like he's had a ton to say the last couple days which isn't normal for him & what he has been saying hasn't been all that villagery. So I'm starting to come around to thinking he's a possible wolf.

It's kinda hard for me to believe he is w/w with Herbie/Loretta though. Just because he proposed to lynch Herbie yesterday & then voted Zay fairly early. Getting Zay lynched there pretty much sets up the fact that Herbie is going to get turbo lynched the next day.
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08-25-2011 , 05:38 AM
My reads for now. Players are arranged in each color group randomly.

Sun Tzu
Treefiddy
Supine
Mr Gatito


Mets
Botjun
Dean


Anarchist



Globe
JonnyD
Chim


Rebonk


Duck
Elliot



JimHalpert
Donk
Loretta
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08-25-2011 , 05:45 AM
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Originally Posted by MrGatito
I think Jonny's vote on UAW over Zay looks good for him. Though its not clearing or anything since you can't always expect the wolfteam to play optimally.
This was supposed to say that he voted Zay. I'm really tired & already stayed up later than I wanted so hopefully everything else I said made sense. I kind of wish I could go back & re-read/quote stuff but I've been really busy. I'm moving to the US in a couple weeks so things have been kinda hectic. Alright Im off to bed.
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08-25-2011 , 06:09 AM
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Originally Posted by MrGatito
I could make a conspiracy theory for why Rebonk is a wolf but I thought his yesterday eod was fairly villagery. This combined with the Zay spew & he's likely a villa but its kind of annoying he isn't participating.
For God's sake...
You take CPH 's soulread on me.
Add tree cups of sugar
½ gallon milk.
Heat it up and you have me read on Rebonk.
Bulletproof

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Originally Posted by MrGatito
Hi Duck.
Hi -I'm here once in a while - so feel free to start an conversation - and I'll follow up on it when I'm here.
I'm coordinating some movements at work.
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08-25-2011 , 07:06 AM
Sigh I peeked Chim villa
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08-25-2011 , 07:07 AM
Rebonk "sponged" me when I called supine a wolf
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08-25-2011 , 07:10 AM
Dean

Jonny is villa prol but policy Lynch him if he doesn't poast tinfoil theory


Elliot has been useless so far

/spoil
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08-25-2011 , 07:11 AM
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Originally Posted by MrGatito
I think Jonny's vote on UAW over Zay looks good for him. Though its not clearing or anything since you can't always expect the wolfteam to play optimally.
Wat
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08-25-2011 , 07:18 AM
Im a tish worried about boj


Every game has a hidden wolf

He could theoretically be him/her/it.
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08-25-2011 , 07:20 AM
Ill prolly end up on duck I think

Herb will have to die unless he gets peeked vil
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08-25-2011 , 07:22 AM
Rebonk/Duck/donk/jim
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08-25-2011 , 07:24 AM
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Originally Posted by ElliotR
Thanks it. ****ing modkill.
Thanks it thanks it thanks it
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08-25-2011 , 07:26 AM
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Originally Posted by metsandfinsfan
Rebonk/Duck/donk/jim
Forgot Loretta tho
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08-25-2011 , 07:27 AM
Blah sry got home from work and passed out. Mrs even made dinner lol (generally I do. Haters gonna hate)

Mets I'll post the theory but it won't be the multiquote version


Or maybe there is no theory and it was all to see your reaction and that in itself was the tin foily part?

Or I'll just post it
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08-25-2011 , 07:28 AM
Elliott subbing im for bsball is like having an appendix transplant
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08-25-2011 , 07:29 AM
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Originally Posted by jonnyd
Blah sry got home from work and passed out. Mrs even made dinner lol (generally I do. Haters gonna hate)

Mets I'll post the theory but it won't be the multiquote version


Or maybe there is no theory and it was all to see your reaction and that in itself was the tin foily part?

Or I'll just post it
If there's no theory im getting you lynched

Just sayin'
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