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12-09-2008 , 07:17 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by sixfour
i am on enormous monkey tilt right now because my hard drive has either died or is being ******ed and i don't know which, which loses about 40 gigs worth of music if it's actually dead, so i am not even going to try to read today, just someone confirm we're still lynching fcbl/rake and then i can come back tomorrow


But what if you are evil?
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12-09-2008 , 07:21 PM
well, i'm not so that's irrelevant, but i have no idea how it's not working now and it was before when all i have done is left the room... i'm going to try to reboot again and get the fecker to work
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12-09-2008 , 07:21 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by soah
So I've played one long game with ollie. He was a wolf. I think he did the exact same thing with making up random percentages for his reads. I had forgotten about that but I think I'm right about it.

This was like four months ago though. So I'm assuming he's played other long games since then. How has he played those other games? If he always uses stupid percentages then whatever. But if not then I guess he's a wolf.

I'm still kinda conflicted though because that seems like an odd thing to revert to as a wolf after so much time has passed and I also have thought that he is a wolf in every single turbo we've played together that I can remember.
Translation - so I played with ollie once, he used words in his posts. I notice he is using words in this game too, he was a wolf in that game.

Despite commonly reading games I am not involved in, I haven't looked at an ollie village game so this may be a wolf tell, idk. I'll let someone else actually take the bait and start voting for ollie.

Quote:
Originally Posted by soah
because it's what she would do
Not sure you know what the word 'why' means then.

Quote:
Originally Posted by VoraciousReader
Also, I challenge anyone that thinks I'm not a real POG-ger to headsup air hockey. I rule at that game. Who wants to take me on?
I will play, but I will destroy you.
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12-09-2008 , 07:27 PM
Those are fighting words Hitch!

Also, I don't get it. KM throws this kickass party, but it's a bit dead in here. Maybe we should change the music?
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12-09-2008 , 07:32 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Sun Tzu
I could be wrong, but I don't think he did the weird percentages thing in the pirates game.

That would be a pretty weird (and avoidable) wolf tell though.
well the thing is that it's mildly wolfy even on its own. or at least in certain contexts.

when he posted yesterday I didn't even remember that he had done it before so it didn't stand out as much

if I'm remembering the other game correctly it was weird **** like 73.86% and stuff though which fits the profile of wolves making **** up while the numbers he used this time were bland

so wtf am I talking about

bah

what are some long games he's played as a villager?
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12-09-2008 , 07:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by soah
well the thing is that it's mildly wolfy even on its own. or at least in certain contexts.

when he posted yesterday I didn't even remember that he had done it before so it didn't stand out as much

if I'm remembering the other game correctly it was weird **** like 73.86% and stuff though which fits the profile of wolves making **** up while the numbers he used this time were bland

so wtf am I talking about

bah

what are some long games he's played as a villager?
Was that the game where Luckay was all over Kyro on Day 1?
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12-09-2008 , 07:36 PM
yeah
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12-09-2008 , 07:41 PM
VR seems villagery, I know she doesnt like being a wolf which is reflected in how she plays when she is. here she seems to be having fun and interacting with a bunch of different people, which for her is a very reliable villager indicator.

i note that neither rake or kk have started to make any more sense than they were a couple of hours back. however, i dont see rake wolf coming after me so hard given his lack of experience. kk doesnt massively strike me as wolfy either, although given his constant changes of mind today, im a fair bit less sure of him.

aries is probably a villager, i know hes pretty good on tone when hes a wolf, but earlier when it was me, rake, kk and him posting a lot inthread, i felt like he was actually trying to figure stuff out, and he also passed on a couple of chances where a wolf could have added fuel to my wagon.

im still not sure about soah, i think him voting for me earlier is not behaviour id expect from villager soah, but hes come off reasonably well in his posts today.

fcbl, or, failing that, atak, seem to me to be our best options tonight.
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12-09-2008 , 07:41 PM
i fear everything is dead. but it could possibly be the psu, who knows? i'm just really pissed off if it just decided to die WHEN I'M NOT ****ING USING IT whilst down the pub
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12-09-2008 , 07:43 PM
fcbl

if alive tomorrow i'll try to pwn whilst not breaking stuff
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12-09-2008 , 07:52 PM
All:

Apologies for my absence since this morning. I'm afraid I have to be a , umm, party pooper today, as I have been stricken with something that you don't want to have. I've tried to read the thread but it just makes me dizzy (literally, unfortunately) -- plus I count about eight wolves possting, so I guess I'm seeing double. With a couple eceptions, all the most prolific posters seem wolfy.

Based on what I remeber from earlier, Rake was wolfy as heck (yes, new too, but I mean in addition to that), but everyone seems to be off him. Soah worried me yesterday, except for his sort of clearing me, which I don't think he had to do. Epi seemed slightly off, too, but not enough to lynch imo.

And as for thsioe hwo you ahve been saying stuff to the efefct that Z was an obvious villager yesterday -- no way.

I have nothing else useful to add, so I'm going back to bed. Hope to rejoin the party tomorrow.
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12-09-2008 , 07:55 PM
i feel vaguely bad that i was just about to bring up how quiet atakdog had been today...
feel better, and judging by the uncharacteristic spelling errors, dial down the meds
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12-09-2008 , 08:05 PM
first batch of epi posts:

Quote:
Originally Posted by Epicurus
this is pretty much the first thing ive read so far that i agree with. the first fifty posts are ridiculously confusing, and im far from sure that any of them sheds any light on anyone.
This is epi's first post. wolfy all around. villagers try to make sense of things. wolves prefer not to if possible. and they'd prefer you don't as well.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Epicurus
kk is saying pretty much exactly what im thinking so far, but bolded text is worthy of comment as being oddly out of place and not indicative of a clear villagery train of thought.
this was in response to kk's comment about getting NKed and this post just doesn't make sense to me. It seemed that kk was saying that he would get seer hunted or something. It's actually one of the better arguments for kk being a villager. For a wolf to make that post they would be doing it to mimic something a villager might be thinking, which is certainly possible but not the argument epi was making nor is there really any compelling reason for him to believe it - given that he seems to be implying that he otherwise finds kk villagery.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Epicurus
i dont know if its a good sign, but usually i look through d1 and keep finding people who i think are villagers. today i keep finding people who i think might easily be wolves. this post, for example, looks a lot to me like atak trying to replicate villagery indignation.
don't see why it would be fake indignation rather than real indignation

Quote:
Originally Posted by Epicurus
ok, so, villagery - sixfour, aries, zhaorx, maybe reno.
wolfy - rake, atak.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Epicurus
although obv i realise that the two names on my wolf list dont sit well together.
where are all the people he thought were wolves?

Quote:
Originally Posted by Epicurus
what i mean is, it didnt seem like a coherent train of thought at all. wolves dont tend to exhibit trains of thought in their posts, they simply write what they think will either clear them or help them achieve a particular aim.
this stuff is true but I still don't see how this applies in the context of kk's post

Quote:
Originally Posted by Epicurus
i also agree with this, and its why im trying to stop myself developing an opinion on him at this point.
coming back full circle to the first post - epi is the type of player that tries to squeeze out every possible read from anything at all. for instance in the list he posted he had reno as a villager when reno had made two posts which I didn't find villagery at all. This is twice now that he has expressed a desire to not form reads and it's very odd for him.
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12-09-2008 , 08:13 PM
something you don't want to have = the clap?
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12-09-2008 , 08:16 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by soah
first batch of epi posts:
This is epi's first post. wolfy all around. villagers try to make sense of things. wolves prefer not to if possible. and they'd prefer you don't as well.
did you see the first page? it was a complete mess. a more accurate version of your summary would be "villagers cant make sense of nonsense, whereas wolves can pretend to."

Quote:
Originally Posted by soah
this was in response to kk's comment about getting NKed and this post just doesn't make sense to me. It seemed that kk was saying that he would get seer hunted or something. It's actually one of the better arguments for kk being a villager. For a wolf to make that post they would be doing it to mimic something a villager might be thinking, which is certainly possible but not the argument epi was making nor is there really any compelling reason for him to believe it - given that he seems to be implying that he otherwise finds kk villagery.
huh? that was exactly the argument i was making - that he was attempting to mimic a villagers thought process, and during that process the fake thoughts lost their fluidity.


Quote:
Originally Posted by soah
don't see why it would be fake indignation rather than real indignation
my feeling was that it seemed fake. as you note below, i make a lot of reads based on not very much at all.




Quote:
Originally Posted by soah
where are all the people he thought were wolves?
atak, rake, and i was including kk. for me to have three suspects at that stage of d1 is extremely unusual, i generally have a bunch of villager reads of varying strengths and often only one noteworthy wolf lean.

Quote:
Originally Posted by soah
coming back full circle to the first post - epi is the type of player that tries to squeeze out every possible read from anything at all. for instance in the list he posted he had reno as a villager when reno had made two posts which I didn't find villagery at all. This is twice now that he has expressed a desire to not form reads and it's very odd for him.
i explained the sun thing, and as for expressing a desire not to form reads, earlier today i posted thoughts on basically everyone. i wasnt willing to form a sun read when sun was intentionally trying to sound unreadable - im baffled as to how that doesnt make sense to some people.
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12-09-2008 , 08:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Epicurus
i think this series of posts makes zhaorx and sun almost never wolves together. it also makes sun seem way more villagery than the earlier stuff he seemed to think cleared him.
zhaorx thinks soah outs himself (based, i think, on a misunderstanding of the first soah post quoted above). around this time, sun posts something that zhaorx takes as an indication that sun agrees with him, but he doesnt get confirmation from sun so he presses him, and gets a pretty equivocating response. now, if they were faking a discussion as wolves, or if this was zhaorx villager talking to sun wolf, i think sun would have taken the opportunity to make more of this interaction.
this is an excellent spot to analyze train of thought: epi has expressed the opinion that zhaorx is nearly a lock to be a villager and the only read he has given on sun is that he's trying to avoid forming one... so how does he end up analyzing whether sun and zhaorx make sense as wolves together? It's just totally out of place with what he should be doing.

Quote:
Originally Posted by Epicurus
also, re hitches two posts, i think hes probably right about kkc, and i liked his FCBL pickup a lot, but im pretty sure hes wrong about zhaorx. im vacillating over atak atm.
just including this post to show that he has indeed still kept his belief that zhaorx is a villager, and also because of the reference to atak. He says he's vacillating, but he hasn't really addressed atak at all other than the post about fake indignation

Quote:
Originally Posted by Epicurus
lol dude, you're expending waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too much focus today on being aware of your own meta.
this was to sun and just seemed odd because sun made a ton of real posts yesterday
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12-09-2008 , 08:23 PM
i actually dont remember the last time soah thought i was a wolf. he generally thinks im a vaguely idiotic villager (which btw was the tell i referred to yesterday - in two previous games, clown and monk respectively have praised my villager game having never shown any particular opinion of me before, and both turned out to be wolves.) i guess soah could be a wolf, although its kind of a moot point currently since i doubt he'll get lynched anytime soon.
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12-09-2008 , 08:29 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by soah
this is an excellent spot to analyze train of thought: epi has expressed the opinion that zhaorx is nearly a lock to be a villager and the only read he has given on sun is that he's trying to avoid forming one... so how does he end up analyzing whether sun and zhaorx make sense as wolves together? It's just totally out of place with what he should be doing.
figuring out the chances of various people being w/w combinations based on interaction is one of the things i think i do best as a villager. although the information is individually not worth much, if you can rule out, or substantially discount the chances of, enough w/w combinations, it can be very helpful. so even if i might think someone is a villager based on their own posts, eliminating the possibility that they could be a wolf with someone else is helpful information to provide.


Quote:
Originally Posted by soah
just including this post to show that he has indeed still kept his belief that zhaorx is a villager, and also because of the reference to atak. He says he's vacillating, but he hasn't really addressed atak at all other than the post about fake indignation
i hadnt addressed atak that much precisely BECAUSE i was vacillating. i kinda thought posting "atak could be evil," "nah, hes probably good", "nah, hes abck to evil" at three minute intervals might get a little annoying.


Quote:
Originally Posted by soah
this was to sun and just seemed odd because sun made a ton of real posts yesterday
he also made a ton of low content annoying posts yesterday.
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12-09-2008 , 08:32 PM
I have about 5 minutes before I have to go to class (in the middle of a snowstorm, of course ) and I need a vote, but I'm not getting much action on soah. It's challenging to make a meaningful vote when something like 30% of the players aren't voting yet and I don't care to vote for the lead bandwagon and the second bandwagon is a "wagon" of 2 which is barely viable. (Also it's Epi and I'd like to see him post for a little while longer before offing him.)
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12-09-2008 , 08:33 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Epicurus
did you see the first page? it was a complete mess. a more accurate version of your summary would be "villagers cant make sense of nonsense, whereas wolves can pretend to."
ok you can't seriously be trying to sell this

the first page was virtually 100% game-related with a variety of people posting reads and voting each other

it's just about the best you could possibly hope for in terms of information

Quote:
huh? that was exactly the argument i was making - that he was attempting to mimic a villagers thought process, and during that process the fake thoughts lost their fluidity.
Quote:
my feeling was that it seemed fake. as you note below, i make a lot of reads based on not very much at all.
In what ways were either of them fake? As far as I can tell, you cases for people being a wolf in this game have basically been that their villagery stuff is just fake villagery instead of real villagery. I haven't made up my mind yet about kk but atak had tons of indignant posts and you just picked out one of them while not commenting on the big picture at all.

Quote:
atak, rake, and i was including kk. for me to have three suspects at that stage of d1 is extremely unusual, i generally have a bunch of villager reads of varying strengths and often only one noteworthy wolf lean.
Quote:
i explained the sun thing, and as for expressing a desire not to form reads, earlier today i posted thoughts on basically everyone. i wasnt willing to form a sun read when sun was intentionally trying to sound unreadable - im baffled as to how that doesnt make sense to some people.
that you did end up posting reads anyway does not take away from my point
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12-09-2008 , 08:39 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Epicurus
i hadnt addressed atak that much precisely BECAUSE i was vacillating. i kinda thought posting "atak could be evil," "nah, hes probably good", "nah, hes abck to evil" at three minute intervals might get a little annoying.
as far as train of thought goes, I don't see you doing anything with atak. You're posting, he's posting, but you're not reacting to him or talking to him or anything. Yet you claim to be thinking about him a lot. And that doesn't make sense.
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12-09-2008 , 08:40 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by VoraciousReader
I have about 5 minutes before I have to go to class (in the middle of a snowstorm, of course ) and I need a vote, but I'm not getting much action on soah. It's challenging to make a meaningful vote when something like 30% of the players aren't voting yet and I don't care to vote for the lead bandwagon and the second bandwagon is a "wagon" of 2 which is barely viable. (Also it's Epi and I'd like to see him post for a little while longer before offing him.)
A wagon of 2 seems viable.
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12-09-2008 , 08:41 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Epicurus
i actually dont remember the last time soah thought i was a wolf. he generally thinks im a vaguely idiotic villager (which btw was the tell i referred to yesterday - in two previous games, clown and monk respectively have praised my villager game having never shown any particular opinion of me before, and both turned out to be wolves.) i guess soah could be a wolf, although its kind of a moot point currently since i doubt he'll get lynched anytime soon.
I don't think you've been this obvious as a wolf before. Like I said, you must be rusty.

The things soah pointed out are the things I thought were odd. To be honest, I hadn't thought them through as concretely as he described them, but I did have the same reaction.

- claiming confusion and making excuses for not giving reads
- including reno in your village list
- the posts about w/w probabilities
- "one of these two is a wolf most of the time"

These aren't even subtle slips. They are like noob slips.
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12-09-2008 , 08:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by soah
as far as train of thought goes, I don't see you doing anything with atak. You're posting, he's posting, but you're not reacting to him or talking to him or anything. Yet you claim to be thinking about him a lot. And that doesn't make sense.
iirc, the times we were active inthread yesterday didnt overlap much. and today hes made one post.
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12-09-2008 , 08:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by soah
A wagon of 2 seems viable.
Perhaps viable is not the word. Inconsequential when there are so many people left to vote may be closer to what I intended to say there. Of course, the fact that half the people on the Epi-wagon are people I am suspicious of does not help.
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